Despite Western measures to weaken Russia's capabilities through export restrictions and oil price caps, Russia has adapted by using a "shadow fleet" of oil tankers, enabling the circumvention of sanctions and the perpetuation of Russia’s war in Ukraine while posing substantial environmental and fiscal risks to Europe.
Robin Brooks, Ben Harris, and Liam Marshall lay out the urgent decisions facing European regulators and propose meaningful expansions in their approach to Russian sanctions.
Latest analysis on the United States and East Asia
South Korea alliance. Lee Jae-myung of the Democratic Party was elected president of South Korea in a snap election following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol, who declared martial law in December 2024. In a recent explainer and commentary video, Andrew Yeo outlines the challenges ahead for President-elect Lee, including restoring public trust, stabilizing the economy, and managing foreign policy tensions—particularly with the U.S. amid contentious trade talks.
The future of negotiations with China. American policymakers no longer debate whether to negotiate with China, but how to achieve better outcomes than past administrations. In a new paper, Ryan Hass analyzes the negotiation records of the last three U.S. administrations and identifies three key areas for future strategy: trade and economics, military risk reduction, and law enforcement cooperation.
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