| The pound's looking weedy | Oil has a rollercoaster ride |

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Hi John, here's what you need to know for March 23rd in 3:13 minutes.

🌍 Finimized while making sense of a world in flux via the Financial Times.

Today's big stories

  1. Investors in search of safety helped push the value of the US dollar higher last week – and the value of the British pound lower
  2. Our analysts look into just how much further stocks might fall – Read Now
  3. The price of a barrel of oil hit historic lows last week, before a record rebound
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Money Is Power

Money Is Power

What’s Going On Here?

The value of the US dollar got jacked last week: the currency rose to its highest level in three years compared to other currencies.

What Does This Mean?

There are a handful of potential reasons the dollar’s looked so appealing to investors recently. The rising demand for US government bonds – partly thanks to Federal Reserve’s incoming rounds of “quantitative easing” – could’ve played a part, as could the relative safety of those bonds and cash in times of uncertainty. And since the US is the world’s largest economy, the dollar is considered a safer – and as such more desirable – currency than most to keep said cash in.

Why Should I Care?

For you personally: Two sides of the same coin.
A stronger dollar pays for more overseas, so all our US-based Finimizers will get a lot more bang for their buck on their summer vacation this year – if, y’know, any of us are able to leave the house by then. But it also means other currencies now buy fewer dollars than before. Brits will certainly have felt that acutely last week, when the value of the pound fell to its lowest level against the dollar since 1985 (tweet this). Or they would have if, y’know, they were allowed into the States.

The bigger picture: No strength without weakness.
When the dollar strengthens, the effect is felt worldwide. That can mean some positives if you’re Stateside – like cheaper imported goods – but it also makes for a few downsides. For one, a strong dollar makes exports more expensive, potentially making American products less competitive on the global stage – and any sales American companies do make will be worth less when converted back into dollars. Then there’s the impact on emerging markets with US-denominated debt, whose interest payments have just become that more expensive. And since emerging market economies tend to move in sync, trouble for one could spell trouble for them all…

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2/3 Premium

When Will Stocks Bottom?

Stock markets around the world have now been in more-or-less constant decline for a month. Our analysts take a look at how low things can go – and how investors might know when the worst is over.

Get the full story in the Finimize app

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Spill Ride

Spill Ride

What’s Going On Here?

The fairgrounds might be shut, but that didn’t stop oil from having one of its wildest weeks ever.

What Does This Mean?

The price of a barrel of oil hit lows not seen since 2002 halfway through last week, as the falling demand that accompanied the dramatic slowdown in global economic growth dovetailed with a sharp increase in supply – namely Saudi Arabia’s price war-driven boost in oil production.

But later that same week, oil’s price rose by 24% – the most in a single day, ever. That could be down to the green shoots of an economic recovery popping up in China, or reports that Russia would be open to mending fences with Saudi Arabia. Investors might have the States to thank for that: the US may soon weigh in to help the two reach an amicable resolution and strike a better balance between supply and demand.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Rootin’ tootin’ regulatin’.
Several large oil producers have already responded to the commodity’s lower price by announcing major cuts to their spending plans, share repurchases, and dividends. But the US oil regulator in Texas – the country’s biggest oil-producing region – is considering going one step further to offset the price decline and limiting output from the area for the first time since the 1970s. That should benefit refiners too, which buy oil and sell on the finished products: those companies usually benefit when oil is cheaper, but since the prices of those end-products have also dropped, it’s becoming more of a struggle to turn a profit.

The bigger picture: In with the old.
With the oil price sat below $30 a barrel – around 50% lower than at the start of the year – the economic argument in favor of using renewable energy over oil likely becomes harder for companies to justify in the near to medium term. At least Italian energy giant Enel is sticking to its renewable guns, announcing on Friday that demand for its renewables hadn’t slowed yet.

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💬 Quote of the day

“I get knocked down. But I get up again. You’re never going to keep me down.”

– Chumbawamba (a British rock band)
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🤔 Q&A · RE: Dim Views

“Who lends governments hundreds of billions of dollars to fund their new spending plans?”

– Patricia

“Governments borrow from all sorts of investors – regular people, investment funds, pension providers, insurance companies, you name it – by selling debt in the form of bonds. They borrow from other governments too: China, for instance, reportedly holds about 40% of the America’s debt. Right now, though, most governments don’t need to look so far afield: the world’s major central banks are effectively printing new money to buy up government bonds and enable them to spend what they need.”

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⚡️ Lightning insight

The United States government owes $23 trillion – more than the country’s entire economy generates in a year. And one way it tries to recoup some of that finance: government bonds.

We’ve been talking about bonds a lot recently. So our analysts have created a new Pack to explain why they’re so important at times like this. You can find it here.

📚 What we're reading (not about coronavirus)

  • Just you try to stop a runner from running (Jezebel)
  • In honour of Finimize HQ’s first “on-nomi” (Evening Standard)
  • But seriously, what was Cats? (Gizmodo)
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