29/11/24View in Browser

A tale of two bonds

Hello and welcome to our new subscribers from Europod, Climate Group, Swiss Finance Council and others. 
 

Financial market analysts who read the flurry of headlines about France’s borrowing costs briefly surpassing Greece’s earlier this week may have been reminded of the famous opening to Charles Dickens’ A Tale of Two Cities.

“It was the best of times, it was the worst of times…”

France, whose government could collapse next week if conservative Prime Minister Michel Barnier fails to garner sufficient parliamentary support for his draconian budget, is experiencing one of the worst political crises in its modern history.

Greece, on the other hand, is enjoying a period of relative stability – certainly, it is experiencing better times than when it was at the epicentre of the eurozone crisis a decade ago.

Despite the moment’s undoubted symbolic significance, the implication of such reports – France could become the next Greece! – remains manifestly implausible.

For one thing, French borrowing costs have a long way to go to even come close to where Greece’s were over the previous decade. Yields on France’s and Greece’s 10-year bonds are currently hovering just under 3% – well below the peak of 36% reached by Athens in 2012.

For another, such comparisons ignore vast dissimilarities between the two cases. Greece, after all, was a country plagued by corruption and weak institutions, which was at the total mercy of politicians and banks in Berlin, Brussels, Frankfurt and Paris. (In many ways, it still is.)

France, on the other hand, has a diversified economy, strong institutions, and a president who, although weakened, is in no way beholden to the EU. (Indeed, he still purports to lead it.)

Moreover, it is still perfectly conceivable that Barnier’s budget will pass. On Thursday, the former EU commissioner scrapped plans to increase taxes on electricity – a core demand of Marine Le Pen’s far-right Rassemblement National, which holds just under a third of the seats in the country’s National Assembly.

Continue reading..
Today's edition is powered by EuropaBio
Biotech drives EU economic growth

The biotech industry’s annual growth rate for 2008-2022 in Europe was 4.7%, compared to 2.6% for the overall EU economy. Biotech is key for advancing EU economic security and resilience. The EU Biotech Act can make a difference. Read more about it from EuropaBio.
Would you like to sponsor this newsletter? Contact us.
Economy News Weekly Roundup
Germany, Poland call for stronger cohesion policy conditionality after 2027. Read more.

Franco-German nuclear fight foils EU competitiveness agreement. Read more.

EU ‘naivety’ to blame for Northvolt’s collapse, says Sweden. Read more.

‘CEOs want open markets’: EU business sentiment drops amid trade war fears. Read more.

EU ministers to discuss rule simplification after von der Leyen promises swift ‘competitiveness’ measures. Read more.

‘I’m not the one who wanted them’: Gentiloni criticises new EU fiscal rules. Read more.

German industry boss warns: Europe could be hit next by Trump tariff threats. Read more.

Industrial policy also means ‘letting losers go,’ EU development bank says. Read more.

Germany’s Habeck floats compromise to waver CO2 targets fines on car makers. Read more.

EU push to centralise financial supervision misguided, say Nordic finance chiefs. Read more.

 

[Edited by Owen Morgan]
Twitter
Instagram
Facebook
Website
LinkedIn
Spotify
Copyright © 2024 Euractiv Media BV, All rights reserved.
You are receiving this email because you subscribed to receive email newsletters from Euractiv.

Our mailing address is:
Euractiv Media BV
Karel de Grotelaan 1
Brussels 1041
Belgium

Add us to your address book


Want to change how you receive these emails?
You can update your preferences or unsubscribe from this list.