Although the group has claimed victory, it is “impossible to draw a straight line between their actions and the government stopping oil and gas extraction,” says Damien. “I think it’s fair to say they were one, important stream of a confluence of factors that brought this to pass.” What has changed radically in the years they were operational is the rabidly hostile legal environment in which climate activists and other protesters are now operating in compared to before. The UK’s Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Act 2021 and the Public Order Act 2022 have transformed the relationship between protesters and the state, handing police extensive new powers to curtail protests and criminalising a range of protest activities. Since then, the number of environmental activists arrested in the UK has reached nearly three times the global average. “Six years ago, when Just Stop Oil formed, you might be arrested and get a slap on the wrist from a magistrate for blocking a road. Now you could be charged with interfering with key national infrastructure and serve a significant jail sentence,” says Damien. How much JSO’s actions – and the levels of public and media outrage they provoked – actively contributed to the draconian nature of the anti-protest laws is up for debate. In 2023 the Met Police said the group’s protests cost almost £20m, which was used as a reason to rush tough legislation through. There are now 11 JSO members behind bars, some serving significant sentences for their non-violent activism. “Showing people just how far they are prepared to go to save the planet, even if it means going to prison, is pretty central to their objectives,” says Damien. “But many have paid a really high price for their activism.” What comes next? While JSO has claimed ultimate victory, it could be argued that they have effectively been policed out of action. The end of JSO, says Damien, could also be the end of the kind of climate activism where people stick around to be held accountable for their law-breaking activities. Future movements are more likely to go more underground. “You’re not going to see people prepared to put themselves out of action by sitting in a jail cell for years, when they believe we don’t have much time left,” he says. Over the past years, groups like Shut the System have emerged, which are carrying out attacks on the offices of finance and insurance companies, sabotaging their fibre optic cables. “We’ve started seeing trains of coal being set on fire, arson attacks on cement factories, full-on riots between environmental protesters and the police,” says Damien. “I think we’ve got a long way to go in terms of how bad things can get but in the next few years I think we’ll look back and what JSO did, blocking roads and throwing washable paint onto buildings, will seem mild,” he says. One criticism of the group is that its tactics have proved so unpopular with the general law-abiding public that it could turn people away from climate activism altogether. Yet Damien believes that history will be kind to JSO. “Even if their tactics were controversial, I think they will come to be seen as a group of people who tried to wake us all up,” he says. “Even though most of us want action on the climate emergency, they were prepared to actually do something about it.” |