Plus, Greenland's election and measles.
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Welcome back to The Forecast, where we help you think about the future — from next week to next decade.

This week we’re looking at service robots in Japan, Greenland’s election and the US measles outbreak.

Robot Waiters Plug Labor Gaps in Japan

A cat-themed robot with big blue eyes glances from side to side as it purrs across a Tokyo restaurant, searching for the customers who’d ordered strawberry parfaits covered in cream to go with a large, piping hot pizza.

“Your order’s here,” the automated cat server says, arriving with a crisp 90-degree turn that lights up the faces of the patrons at the table. “Meow!”

This isn’t a scene from Studio Ghibli’s latest animated fantasy — rather it’s an increasingly common sight at more than 2,000 restaurants operated across the country by Skylark Holdings Co., the nation’s largest table service restaurant chain. Skylark uses around 3,000 cat robots, which have 3D sensors, dozens of facial expressions and can carry heavy plates of food.

A cat-themed robot serves tables at Skylark’s restaurant in Tokyo. Photographer: Soichiro Koriyama/Bloomberg

Faced with a severe labor shortage in one of the world’s most rapidly aging populations, service-sector businesses in Japan are increasingly investing in robots that don’t need expert supervision and can work alongside people, instead of simply replacing them. So-called service robots are also making it easier for firms to employ older or foreign workers — who are crucial to plugging the shortfall — by helping them overcome language barriers or cope with the physical demands of a role.

While industrial robots have been around since the 1960s, service robots only emerged over the past two decades. They are generally cheaper than industrial robots and are often operated by people with no specialist knowledge.

Service robots are also increasingly being used in Japan’s aged care sector, as the government projects a shortfall of 570,000 caregivers by fiscal 2040. One such device is “Hug,” a mobility support robot that helps get seated residents on their feet.

71-year-old Yasuko Tagawan, who works in one of Skylark’s restaurants in Tokyo, said she’s excited about working with more machines.

“Maybe they can also help out in the kitchen,” she said, stroking one of the cat robots with a hint of affection. “Thanks for your hard work. I’ll be counting on you.”

— Erica Yokoyama and Momoka Yokoyama, Bloomberg News

Read more: Thousands of Cat-Eared Robots Are Waiting Tables in Japan’s Restaurants

Predictions

China will finally pivot to consumption: “The government’s No. 1 priority this year is getting households to spend more.” — John Liu, Bloomberg News 

“Ukraine’s military can keep up the fight… for at least a few more months.” But some munitions, like air-defense missiles, could run out sooner. — Andra Timu, Natalia Drozdiak, and Ellen Milligan, Bloomberg News

The Supreme Court would probably let Trump fire Jerome Powell: “The Federal Reserve Act requires cause for the president to oust Powell as a Federal Reserve Board member, but there's a good chance the ‘for cause’ removal restriction will be held unconstitutional for intruding on the president's authority.” (Trump could also just demote him from the chair role.) — Elliott Z. Stein, Bloomberg Intelligence (Terminal subscribers only)

3.8 billion adults will be overweight or obese by 2050: That’s compared to 2.1 billion in 2021, according to a study published in The Lancet. — Amber Tong, Bloomberg News
 
Robot massages will become de rigeur: The Aescape AI-powered robot is “now slated to be installed in 60 Equinox gym locations.” — Lizette Chapman, Bloomberg News 

Keep an Eye On

Greenland’s Election

As voters in Greenland head to the polls on March 11, they’ll be doing so under the shadow of US President Donald Trump wanting to take control of the semi-autonomous territory from Denmark.

The island spent more than 200 years as a Danish colony before being redefined as a county of Denmark in 1953. It secured limited sovereignty via “home rule” in 1979, when the first Greenlandic parliament was formed, and gained greater autonomy and the right to self-determination in 2009.

All parties running for Greenland’s 31-seat parliament back an eventual separation from Denmark and a recent survey suggests this view is supported by most Greenlanders too. But polls also indicate that the population is overwhelmingly against the idea of becoming part of the US.

It’s unlikely Trump will succeed in buying or annexing the island. That said, should Greenland move to cut ties with Denmark, it will be looking to strike new partnerships, leaving an opening for Trump to expand US influence.

— Sanne Wass and Sara Sjolin, Bloomberg News

What Are the Chances...

55%
Chance that the US CDC reports at least 1,000 cases of measles in the country in 2025, according to prediction market Kalshi. As of March 6,  222 had been reported. Forecast as of 4:15 p.m. ET on Friday.

Weekend Reads

To Save the Planet, We Must Sacrifice Some of It
Iran-Contra Paved the Way for Trump to Defy Democratic Norms
Skiing’s New Climate Forecast: 30 Feet in June
Venture Capital’s ‘Blitzscaling’ Obsession Is Warping the World
What We Lose When Our Memories Exist Entirely in Our Phones

Week Ahead

Sunday: Canada’s Liberal Party elects a new leader to replace Justin Trudeau; China’s CPI is expected to be negative for the first time in over a year, according to Bloomberg Economics; Daylight Saving Time begins in most of the US and Canada.

Monday: China’s retaliatory tariffs on US agricultural goods take effect; the CERAWeek energy conference begins in Houston.

Tuesday: Greenland holds parliamentary elections; Japan reports GDP; Volkswagen reports earnings; five years since the WHO declared Covid-19 a global pandemic.

Wednesday: The US reports CPI for the first full month of Trump’s second term; US tariffs on steel and aluminum are scheduled to take effect; India reports CPI; the Bank of Canada is expected to cut rates a quarter point.

Thursday: Peru’s central bank is expected to keep rates steady.

Friday: US lawmakers’ deadline to avoid a federal government shutdown; CPI data from Argentina, France, Germany, Israel, Poland and Spain.

Have a great Sunday and a productive week.

— Walter Frick and Kira Bindrim, Bloomberg Weekend Edition; Erica Yokoyama, Momoka Yokoyama, Sanne Wass and Sara Sjolin, Bloomberg News

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