Previewing Biden's State of the Union Facing crises on multiple fronts, 2022 will be a highly consequential year for President Biden and his administration. Ahead of the State of the Union (SOTU) address on March 1, we asked U.S. politics expert John Hudak a few questions about what to expect. President Biden's first SOTU address comes amid political turmoil at home and geopolitical turmoil abroad. What are the three biggest issues that you expect Biden will touch on in his remarks? President Biden will need to convince Americans that historic sanctions against Russia are critical to preserving both democracy and America's interests in eastern Europe—while outlining precisely how those sanctions will hobble all parts of Russian life including finance, domestic markets, technology, and military. And while the Russian invasion will consume a significant part of the speech, this remains an important time to talk about domestic politics including the economy, inflation, infrastructure, COVID-19, Build Back Better, and his historic Supreme Court nominee. With Putin's military action in Ukraine, what kind of tone do you think Biden should strike with Americans during the address? Foreign conflict offers presidents unique opportunities to strike a tone that is bold, strong, and exudes American might. That tone should seek to unite the parties, highlighting the support he has among (most) Democrats and Republicans in defending Ukraine and punishing Russia. He should take the moment to reassert America as a defender of democracy and as an opponent of aggressive autocrats—a role the United States stepped away from after the 2016 election. What will Biden need to do between his SOTU address and the midterm elections to turn things around for the Democrats? Biden and the rest of the party must step forward to craft a message around demonstrable successes in combatting COVID-19, reopening America, rebuilding infrastructure, and taking a lead on education, health care, and the environment, areas that have natural advantages in American public opinion. However, much of the potential success of Biden and Democrats in the midterms depends heavily on how well the economy continues to recover and how effectively inflation is combatted. If Americans are unconvinced the economy is doing well and simultaneously see and feel inflation, there is little Democrats can do to appeal to majorities of voters—and time is running out fast on that.
For more on the SOTU, read Hudak's preview here. |