New Catalysts to Drive NVIDIA’s Stock Price Even Higher

A quick glance at the news cycle reveals catalysts that will drive NVIDIA’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock price higher. A move higher in mid-June is significant because putting this market at an all-time high won't take much. In that scenario, the robust technical outlook could lead NVIDIA’s share price to the high end of the analysts' target range.

That puts this market above $200, at $220, a 40% increase from the critical resistance target, and it could be a quick move. 

The primary catalyst is the upcoming earnings report, but there are others. The analysts forecast another revenue slowdown as well as another quarter of hypergrowth with a high likelihood of outperformance. The odds of outperformance are high due to the revision trends. In the past 90 days, 32 of the 34 revisions tracked by MarketBeat were reductions, bringing market expectations down to the low end of the range, which is an easy hurdle to clear. 

The technical action is bullish in June. The market for NVIDIA’s stock has rebounded from the tariff-induced lows and is on track to set new highs by the end of Q2 or early Q3. The risk is that this market is overbought at these levels and could peak at or near its all-time highs. In that scenario, the stock could correct to lower levels ahead of the Q2 report, possibly as low as $97.50, before setting and sustaining new highs.

Wedbush Says Restrictions on China Could Ease: Analysts Praise GTC Announcements

Although CEO Jenson Huang is less optimistic, Wedbush’s Dan Ives thinks exports to China could resume. In his view, technology transfers, including the relaxation of restrictions on semiconductors, will be part of upcoming trade negotiations. Ironically, Mr. Huang and Mr. Wedbush agree that China has AI covered, thanks to Huawei; its GPUs are competitive and will enable China to keep up with the U.S. regarding AI, regardless of the restrictions.

The takeaway is that sales of NVIDIA's H20 chips could resume suddenly, because there is no reason to allow Huawei to simply have the revenue, bringing billions in lost revenue back into the picture. 

Meanwhile, NVIDIA is not sitting still. Not only are new deals with Saudi Arabia’s HUMAIN in the works, but announcements at the GTC Paris conference have analysts buzzing.

The new deals and projects amount to more than 3,000 exaflops of AI computing power built on NVIDIA hardware and architecture. The deals include countries within the EU and the EU itself, comprising dozens of AI factories, some gigafactories, and supercomputing centers for localized computing needs.

The takeaway is that demand for NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips continues to grow, supporting a robust outlook for the core semiconductor business as well as the full stack of AI products and services. 

NVIDIA Invests in the Future of AI

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang is also investing in the company's future, ensuring its secure place in the AI industry. Among the 2025 activities is a $25 million series B round of funding for Skild. The latest injection values the company at nearly $4.5 billion and leaves NVIDIA with a minority position.

The aim is to capitalize on Skild’s robotics software and potential as a future revenue driver. Robotics, including autonomous vehicles, is the future of AI and will sustain NVIDIA’s growth for years to come. 

Analysts' Stock Price Trends Lead to the High End Range

Nothing in the analysts' trends suggests the rally in NVIDIA’s stock price is over. The takeaway at the end of Q2 2025 is that analysts' coverage is firm, with 43 ratings tracked by MarketBeat.

The analysts' sentiment is also firming, with upgrades offsetting downgrades, resulting in a consensus of Moderate Buy with a bullish bias.

The price target is also firming, with Q2 revisions consistently above the consensus rating, aligning wth a $200 price point by the end of the year.

Assuming the company continues to perform well, these trends should continue to support the market through year’s end. 

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China Market Movers: MCHI, PDD, BIDU Show Bullish Trends

Today’s financial markets are less welcoming to new capital than they used to be, as every week of 2025 has delivered wave after wave of uncertainty for investors. In the first quarter, both participants and the economy as a whole had to contend with the implications of Liberation Day in April 2025, when President Trump introduced new trade tariffs to be implemented with most of the United States' trading partners.

Then came the retaliations to these tariffs, with China becoming the spotlight in these back-and-forth talks, considering it is one of the United States’ biggest trading partners, not to mention a strategic player in global trade.

With this in mind, some investors could not live with the uncertainty that might arise from Chinese stocks, so they left the scene altogether.

However, after weeks of talks and new developments, it looks like just the opposite would have been the right call.

Short sellers have been closing their Chinese stock positions across the board, which is a clear sign of capitulation and/or profit-taking. Considering that the outlook today is looking much better than it did in the past, it might be time to consider names like the iShares MSCI China ETF (NASDAQ: MCHI), PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: PDD), and even Baidu Inc. (NASDAQ: BIDU) for the coming months ahead.

A Diversified ETF Makes the Most Sense

When global investors, especially institutions and other sophisticated players, look to gain exposure in a new area or even a country, it makes sense for them to start showing their tracks in an exchange-traded fund (ETF) first. This is likely why up to $898 million in institutional capital made its way to the China ETF as of the most recent quarter.

This new inflow shows the rest of the market that there is still hope and optimism ahead for Chinese markets despite the heightened uncertainty and tensions these trade negotiations bring. Speculators might think that these sophisticated players know something that the rest of the market doesn’t.

While they might be right, a more sensible approach might be to compare the remaining downside potential that can be priced in versus the potential upside available from these Chinese baskets today. Investors can detect a recent shift in bearish sentiment by seeing the risk-to-reward ratio favorably tilted in favor of the bulls.

A massive 22.8% decline in the China ETF’s short interest is a clear sign of a potential rotation underway and another check that justifies a fantastic setup for the bulls to start taking advantage of today. That would be sufficient for those looking for a diversified way to get back into the China scene. However, there are better options available for risk-takers.

PDD Holdings Stock: A Tail Risk Trade

Now that shares of PDD Holdings have fallen to a low of 65% of their 52-week highs, investors may wonder whether the worst-case scenario is already priced into the company today. The answer is likely a resounding yes, even if being part of China’s retail sector exposes it to major structural changes with new trade tariffs being implemented.

The story bears a resemblance to that of the broader China ETF in terms of the stock’s price being close to already pricing in these potential downfalls in the business model, leaving investors with a major opportunity to catch a “turnaround” or “tail risk” trade focused on the upside.

This is where the new $1 billion stake taken by institutional allocators from UBS Asset Management confirms this view; as of mid-May 2025, these investors justified buying a large amount of one of China’s leading retail stocks despite the rest of the market thinking trade tariffs would be doom in the making for this company.

In addition to this buying, Wall Street analysts still see a consensus price target of up to $144.5 per share on PDD Holdings, calling for as much as 43.7% upside from where it trades today to crystallize the sort of upside that bold bulls can expect in this contrarian bet.

Baidu Offers Blue-Chip Status

If going with a retail company like PDD seems too risky, investors can also consider Baidu, one of China’s blue-chip technology companies with a track record for being a pivotal player in the nation’s internet and communications services.

Some even liken Baidu to Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) of China. With a $29.5 billion market capitalization, being such a key player in the world’s second-largest economy seems like an obvious bargain. That view seems to align with some of the recent activity happening with the other names on this list as well.

Over the past month, up to 21.2% of Baidu’s short interest left the scene to show another rotation into a more bullish sentiment for the company’s future. More than that, as it only trades at 74% of its 52-week high, it offers investors a similar setup to that of PDD Holdings.

In fact, Alicia Yap, an analyst from Citigroup, decided to reiterate her Buy rating on Baidu stock as of late May 2025, leaving a valuation target of up to $138 per share, daring Baidu to rally by as much as 60.5% from where it has fallen to today.

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Palantir Defies Bears, Leads S&P 500 in 2025

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: PLTR) continues to defy conventional expectations. In midday trading on June 16, PLTR stock is trading at $142.05. That’s slightly down from the all-time high (ATH) made earlier in the session. However, the stock is now the best-performing S&P 500 stock, up more than 89% in 2025. 

The immediate catalyst for PLTR stock was the conflict between Israel and Iran. Investors frequently make decisions based on probability. There is no confirmation that Palantir’s technology is being used. But the company has had a presence in the country since 2021, and it’s reasonable to presume the company’s technology is being used in some capacity.

What is confirmed is that the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) is using Palantir’s technology. The company has also been listed as one of several companies that would be part of the Golden Dome missile defense system being proposed by the Trump administration. Palantir is also becoming an essential company in the space economy.

That being said, PLTR stock is more than overdue for a pullback. However, rather than view that as a concern over the company’s valuation, retail investors should look at any downside move as a natural step in what likely will remain a bullish pattern.

Volatility and Liquidity Continue to Drive PLTR Stock

Institutional investment in Palantir has increased in the last three quarters, but overall institutional ownership is still around 45%. It’s fair to say that retail investors continue to lead this charge higher. In fact, the uncertainty and volatility that define the broader market help make the case for PLTR stock.

Investors are looking for stocks with liquidity, and Palantir fits that description. For example, on Friday, July 13, the volume on PLTR stock was over 93 million shares, above its average of 80.86 million shares.

Of course, volatility works both ways. Palantir shareholders only need to look back to February, when the stock dropped by more than 40%. At that time, the market’s concern was the potential for less AI infrastructure spending. But now, as was the case then, this shouldn’t be an issue for Palantir.

Palantir Is Architecture Agnostic

Palantir is frequently referred to as a data analytics company. That may be too simplistic, but it does point to a tension that some investors feel. A core strength of Palantir is its ability to integrate data from any source.

This plays well with centralized databases such as Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud. These platforms rely on as much data as possible to train their models.

For some investors, that could put Palantir at odds with a world that’s increasingly adopting blockchain technology. But Palantir is architecture agnostic. This means its platforms (Foundry, Gotham, AIP, etc.) can also integrate data from decentralized systems such as public blockchains and distributed ledgers.

And blockchain is not a rejection of AI. Instead, it offers an antidote of sorts to the excesses of centralized databases that have gaps in security and privacy. Palantir excels in both security and privacy.

Analyst Ratings Show a Higher Ceiling and a Higher Floor

There’s no way to get around the lofty valuation on PLTR stock. Even for those who consider Palantir to be a unicorn among technology stocks, the share price is expensive. Going beyond the company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, its price-to-sales (P/S) ratio and other conventional metrics, investors have to ask themselves how much they’re willing to pay for a $1 of Palantir’s earnings.

Currently, estimates are for earnings to increase by about 10% in the next 12 months. Even if the company were to keep that going for the next 10 years, critics would say it doesn’t justify its valuation.

Analysts are divided on the issue. For example, Loop Capital recently raised its price target on PLTR stock to $155 from $130. However, the consensus price target among sell-side analysts is a price target of $101.32, which is a 26% decline in the stock.

However, once again, this shows that the floor for PLTR stock is moving higher. This is essential to Palantir's long-term buy-and-hold case.

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