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Wednesday, November 17, 2021 |
Tua Tagovailoa, because it's time for him to prove my pre-season optimism correct. |
Actually, it's because he gets to take on the Jets in Week 11, who have allowed the fourth-highest completion percentage and second-highest yards per attempt of any defense, with the lowest interception rate in the league. The only reason they haven't been worse than just middle-of-the-pack when it comes to Fantasy points allowed is because they haven't allowed too many passing touchdowns; instead, they've given up four more rushing touchdowns than any other team in the NFL. |
This is an atrocious defense all around, but the the Dolphins seem much more well equipped to torch them through the air than on the ground. The Dolphins have just six rushing touchdowns on the season, and Tagovailoa has half of them; this just hasn't been a particularly punishing running game, and Myles Gaskin hasn't been a great goal-line back in his career, so expect Miami to lean heavily on Tagovailoa when they inevitably get near the end zone. Which will hopefully happen early and often. |
Tagovailoa's second season hasn't been great, but it's also hard to blame him too much for it; Miami's offensive line remains a disaster and he has played just four games due to injuries. He's still dealing with his finger injury but will start this week, and hopefully he'll be able to make it through the whole game -- he's averaging 23.3 Fantasy points in his four full games. |
I've been expecting big things from Tagovailoa since the preseason, so I'm obviously excited about his potential, but you can read about why Jamey Eisenberg says Tagovailoa needs to be in your lineup in his full Start 'Em & Sit 'Em column here. In the rest of today's newsletter, I'm highlighting some of Jamey's favorite start calls and some of the players he'd rather keep on the bench for each position. |
Tomorrow morning, you'll get your typical Fantasy Football Today newsletter, featuring Dave Richard's Start/Sit picks, updates on all the injuries you need to know about for Week 11, and a preview of Thursday's game between the Patriots and Falcons, with some pretty sizable injury concerns on both sides. |
But that's all for tomorrow morning. For now, here's who Jamey is starting and sitting this week: |
Quarterback Start 'Em & Sit 'Em |
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Start 'Em: Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow |
"Herbert has been held in check lately, scoring 16 Fantasy points or less in three of his past four games. But he'll break out of his slump this week against the Steelers at home because Pittsburgh's defense is beat up. T.J. Watt (hip/knee) and Joe Haden (foot) are uncertain for Week 11, while Minkah Fitzpatrick (COVID-19) is unlikely to play. If all three are out, Herbert should have the chance for a quality outing and could be a top five Fantasy quarterback." |
Sit 'Em: Matt Ryan and Carson Wentz |
"Wentz was a dud as the Start of the Week in Week 10 with just seven Fantasy points against the Jaguars, which snapped a string of him scoring at least 20 Fantasy points in six games in a row. I don't expect him to play well this week against the Bills, who have only allowed two quarterbacks to score at least 22 Fantasy points and give up an average of just 11.8 Fantasy points per game to the position. Wentz is only worth starting in two-quarterback and Superflex leagues." |
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Running Back Start 'Em & Sit 'Em |
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Start 'Em: A.J. Dillon and Saquon Barkley |
"Barkley is expected to return after being out five weeks with an ankle injury, and he gets a boost with Tampa Bay down standout defensive tackle Vita Vea (knee). The hope is Barkley looks like the player we saw prior to hurting his ankle in Week 5 at Dallas when he had 21 and 29 PPR points in the previous two games against Atlanta and New Orleans. And Tampa Bay has allowed a running back to score or gain 100 total yards in three games in a row with Herbert in Week 7, Alvin Kamara in Week 8 and Antonio Gibson last week. Barkley should be considered a high-end No. 2 running back in all leagues." |
Sit 'Em: Mike Davis and Jordan Howard |
"We'll find out if Cordarrelle Patterson (ankle) plays this week, and if he's active then Davis should be totally ignored. If Patterson is out, Davis has a chance to help Fantasy managers, moreso in PPR. The Patriots have struggled with pass-catching running backs, and Davis has four games this season with at least three catches. But he also has one game with more than two PPR points in his past four outings, and we could see more of Wayne Gallman this week and moving forward. If Patterson is out, Davis is a flex option at best in most leagues." |
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Wide Receiver Start 'Em & Sit 'Em |
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Start 'Em: D.J. Moore and Jaylen Waddle |
"It's been tough to trust Moore lately since he's scored nine PPR points or less in three games in a row, and he hasn't scored a touchdown since Week 4. But he'll break out of his slump this week against Washington with Cam Newton under center. Washington is No. 2 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, and the pass rush shouldn't be a problem for Newton with Chase Young (ACL) and Montez Sweat (jaw) injured. Moore has top-15 upside in all leagues this week." |
Sit 'Em: Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones |
"Golladay has yet to find the end zone this season, and he has one game with more than 10 PPR points. Sterling Shepard (quad) is likely out this week, which could mean more targets for Golladay, but Daniel Jones will also lean on Kadarius Toney, Evan Engram and Saquon Barkley, among others. Tampa Bay's pass defense has also improved dramatically of late, and the Buccaneers have allowed just two touchdowns to opposing receivers in their past six games. At best, use Golladay as a low-end No. 3 Fantasy receiver on Monday night." |
Tight End Start 'Em & Sit 'Em |
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Start 'Em: Mike Gesicki |
"Mike Goosecki was more like it in Week 10 against Baltimore when he failed to catch a pass on seven targets. He should rebound this week against the Jets, who have allowed four touchdowns to tight ends in their past five games. Gesicki scored in his last trip to New York to face the Jets last season and will hopefully find the end zone again. " |
Sit 'Em: Zach Ertz |
"Ertz has struggled to produce after having a solid outing in his debut with the Cardinals in Week 7 against Houston when he scored 15 PPR points. In three games since then, he's combined for 21 PPR points, and he's failed to top 46 yards in any game. Now, two of those games came without Kyler Murray (ankle), and Murray could return this week. But Seattle has improved against tight ends as the season has gone on, and the Seahawks haven't allowed a tight end to score since Week 5." |
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DST Start 'Em & Sit 'Em |
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Start 'Em: Titans vs. HOU |
"The Titans defense has been amazing of late, and the Titans DST has become a must-start Fantasy option in all leagues. The Titans DST has scored at least 13 Fantasy points in three of the past four games, and Tennessee has 14 sacks, five interceptions, four fumble recoveries and two DST scores over that span. And now Houston comes to town. In Tyrod Taylor's last game at Miami in Week 9, he was sacked five times with three interceptions. The Titans DST is my No. 1 unit this week." |
Sit 'Em: Steelers @LAC |
"With the potential of Pittsburgh being without T.J. Watt (hip/knee), Joe Haden (foot) and Minkah Fitzpatrick (COVID-19), it could be time to sit the Steelers DST. Now, the unit can still play well if those guys are out, but the Chargers still bring plenty of weapons and have scored at least 24 points in four of their past six games. Justin Herbert has only been sacked twice in his past two games, and he has just four interceptions in his past seven outings. If Watt, Haden and Fitzpatrick play, that changes things, but as of Wednesday you might want to find another DST for this week. " |
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