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Wednesday, October 13, 2021
Don't you love it when a guy you pick up off waivers can slide right into your starting lineup? Williams is ranked 19th in our expert consensus rankings this week with Clyde Edwards-Helaire out with a sprained MCL, and is a solid starting option for the matchup against what has been a pretty miserable Washington defense.
Williams played 76% of the team's snaps after Edwards-Helaire left Sunday night's game, including all four snaps inside of the 10-yard line and three of four on third and fourth downs. Which is a good sign that he'll be the team's lead back in Edwards-Helaire's absence, which is what we expected going back to the preseason. The only question is how much you can expect from him.
Williams has never received more than 13 snaps in a game in the NFL, with that coming twice in the playoffs last season -- he rushed for 130 yards in those two games with a touchdown while adding five receptions, averaging 13.3 PPR points per game. We're hoping for more from Williams this week, but that wouldn't be a bad outcome. The upside will come from how much of a role he plays in the passing game and whether the Chiefs will trust him near the goal line, and on that latter point, he's already vultures a couple of short touchdowns this season, so I think that's one thing we can assume. 
Ultimately, Williams gives you an opportunity to get a piece of the Chiefs offense in a game where they have a 31-point implied total based on William Hill's odds. That's a good spot to be in. 
In the rest of this evening's newsletter we're highlighting the rest of Jamey's top picks for the week at each position, and you can read his thoughts on why he chose Williams in his Start 'Em & Sit 'Em column right here, along with the rest of his picks.
Tomorrow morning, you'll get your typical Fantasy Football Today newsletter, featuring Dave Richard's Start/Sit picks, updates on all the injuries you need to know about for Week 6, and a preview of Thursday's game between the Buccaneers and Eagles, a fascinating matchup that features a lot of questions for Fantasy, especially on the Eagles side. 
But for now, here's who Jamey is starting and sitting this week: 
Start 'Em: Jalen Hurts and Joe Burrow
"I'm not sure what more Hurts has to do to gain your trust, but he's only started in 60 percent of leagues on CBS Sports. He's scored at least 21 Fantasy points in every game this year, including two outings with at least 31 points, and he's been great with his rushing production with an average of 51.2 yards per game on the ground. This week he's facing a Tampa Bay defense that has allowed an average of 25.2 Fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks, and I expect Hurts to be above that number. He has top-five upside in this matchup Thursday night."
Sit 'Em: Derek Carr and Justin Fields
"Carr went from a reliable Fantasy quarterback to a questionable option the past two games against the Chargers and Bears when he combined for just 24 Fantasy points. This was after he scored at least 25 Fantasy points in each of his first three games. The Broncos have yet to allow more than 22 Fantasy points to any quarterback this year, including matchups with Daniel Jones, Lamar Jackson and Ben Roethlisberger. And Carr only has four touchdowns in his past five meetings with Denver going back to 2018. He's only worth starting in two-quarterback and Superflex leagues."
Start 'Em: Joe Mixon and Damien Williams
"Mixon gave us a scare last week when he almost didn't play against the Packers with his ankle injury, but he got out there with 10 carries for 33 yards and a touchdown, along with one catch for 2 yards. We'd like to see him more involved in the passing game, and maybe that happens this week at Detroit if Samaje Perine isn't cleared off the reserve/COVID-19 list. But even if Perine plays, this should be a quality outing for Mixon against the Lions, who are No. 4 in Fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs. Detroit has allowed a running back to score a touchdown (10 in total) in all but one game this year."
Sit 'Em: Miles Sanders and Chris Carson
"I hope the usage we got from Sanders last week is a sign of things to come because he had 16 total touches against the Panthers and played 75 percent of the snaps. But he's now gone four games in a row with nine PPR points or less, and he should struggle to run against the Buccaneers like most teams do. If the Eagles keep him involved in the passing game -- he had five catches on five targets in Week 5 but only 6 yards -- then he could have some success this week since Tampa Bay is No. 2 in receptions allowed to running backs. But we could see Kenneth Gainwell as the one catching passes in this matchup, which is why Sanders is just a flex at best."
Start 'Em: Chase Claypool and Michael Pittman
"There should be some big games ahead for Claypool with JuJu Smith-Schuster (shoulder) out for the season, and we've already seen a glimpse of that this year. Smith-Schuster hurt his ribs in Week 3 against Cincinnati, and Claypool went off for nine catches for 96 yards on 15 targets, although Diontae Johnson was also out for that game with a knee injury. Then last week against Denver when Smith-Schuster hurt his shoulder, Claypool had five catches for 130 yards and a touchdown on six targets. Seattle has already allowed seven receivers to score at least 16 PPR points this year, and Claypool and Johnson should do well this week.  "
Sit 'Em: Tyler Lockett and Odell Beckham
"I'm only going to use Lockett as a No. 3 Fantasy receiver this week because I'm nervous about his connection with Geno Smith since Russell Wilson (finger) is out. We're also in the midst of another slump for Lockett, which he's prone to, and he's scored 10 PPR points or less in three games in a row. And even though the matchup with the Steelers seems favorable since Pittsburgh is No. 3 in Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, I expect this defense to make things tough on Smith, which in turn could be bad for Lockett. DK Metcalf is also downgraded this week, but he's still a No. 2 Fantasy receiver in all leagues."
Start 'Em: Hunter Henry
"Henry has taken over as the top tight end for the Patriots, and he's been great the past two weeks against Tampa Bay and Houston. He has 13 targets over that span for 10 catches, 107 yards and two touchdowns, and he should continue to be a prominent target for Mac Jones. Henry is emerging as a must-start option in all leagues, and he should stay hot this week against the Cowboys, who are No. 9 in Fantasy points allowed to tight ends this year."
Sit 'Em: T.J. Hockenson
"Do we have to start worrying about Hockenson at this point? After two huge games to open the season against San Francisco and Green Bay with a combined 45 PPR points, he's only scored 15 PPR points in his past three outings against Baltimore, Chicago and Minnesota. The Bengals have been solid against tight ends so far this year and allow the fifth-fewest Fantasy points to the position, and Hockenson is dealing with a knee injury that's forcing him to miss practice time. It's hard to bench Hockenson in most leagues, but he might not be a top-tier Fantasy tight end like we thought to open the year."
Start 'Em: Colts vs. HOU
"The Texans come into this game having averaged 10.3 points in their past three games against Carolina, Buffalo and New England. Davis Mills has four interceptions over that span, and he's been sacked 10 times in those outings. The Colts had a good first half against the Ravens in Week 5 before falling apart, but the defense also played well against the Dolphins in Week 4. The Colts DST is a top-10 Fantasy option for Week 6."
Sit 'Em: Ravens vs. LAC
"The Ravens DST has been a letdown so far this season, and this is not a unit to trust in Week 6 against the Chargers. Baltimore only has five turnovers on the year, and the Chargers are averaging 35 points per game in their past three outings. Justin Herbert has no interceptions in his past three games, and the team has just two fumbles on the year. It should be a rough outing for the Ravens DST this week."
 
 
The early slate of the SEC on CBS kicks off on Saturday at 12 PM ET with Auburn meeting #17 Arkansas.
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Then at 3:30 PM ET, it’s a battle of the undefeated, when #11 Kentucky takes on #1 Georgia. It's a full Saturday of SEC football on CBS!
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