Hidden “Einstein Factor” Finds Winning Trades At 97% Rate Look I admit this is weird… But this hidden “Einstein Factor” has been spotting winning trades at an incredible rate. I’m talking about 44 winners out of 45 trades over the last few months. Go here to see exactly how this works… Hidden Einstein Factor Spots Winning Trades |
|
|
This Chart Could Signal the End of Rate Hikes |
Most expected the Federal Reserve to hike rates 25 basis points — matching the previous meeting’s increase…
And it did.
“The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient,” read the Fed’s FOMC statement, implying the recent bank failures had nothing to do with the decision. “The Committee remains highly attentive to inflation risks.”
However, the statement said that, alongside tightening’s cumulative effects and its lagging impact on economic activity/inflation…
That the Fed would consider “economic and financial developments.” Vague, but it could refer to the banking fiasco.
Notably, the language of “ongoing rate increases” is gone.
Instead, the Fed believes “some additional policy firming may be appropriate in order to attain a stance of monetary policy sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2%.”
“Some” is definitely less aggressive, and a report accompanying the Fed’s remarks back up this dovish turn… |
|
|
Are You Making These Profit-Killing Beginner Mistakes? Feeling stuck, unable to grow your account? Chances are you’re making a few mistakes — both in your mindset and actual trading. Don’t feel bad about it. Most beginner traders are in the same boat. Luckily, these mistakes have simple fixes. And the faster you correct these bad habits, the sooner you could start growing a consistent trading income... and pull ahead of other traders. Click here to learn these mistakes and how to fix them... |
|
|
The Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections, published four times per year (March, June, September, and December). Specifically, the “dot plot” inside this release.
The dot plot — part of FOMC releases since 2011 — maps out Fed projects for future rate hikes by plotting Fed members’ median terminal rate expectations.
This one shows most members estimating a ~5.1% terminal rate…
Meaning we might only get one more rate hike this year. That would end one of the Fed’s most aggressive rate hike cycles in the institution’s history.
Now, Powell has said many times that this dot plot is not that accurate. “The dots are not a great forecaster of future rate moves and it’s just because it’s so highly uncertain,” Powell told reporters in June 2021, when the Fed announced it would hold rates near 0%... |
|
|
The Only 3 Trade Setups You Will EVER Need What if I told you that 3 trade setups appear around the exact same time almost every day? It’s true — and this Day Trading Beginner’s Guide explains each one of them. Learn each one, practice them over and over, master them… and you might never need to learn another trade setup. This could be your ticket to finally earning consistent trading income… >>> Grab your free guide to learn them NOW. |
|
|
He added that people should take them with a “big grain of salt.”
Or, perhaps, analyzed alongside other data — like the rest of the Summary of Economic Projections.
The Fed projects below-average economic growth of a mere 0.4% next year. That’s below their December project of 0.5%.
It also forecasts unemployment hitting 4.5% this year.
Slightly better than the last forecast of 4.6% but still well above the current 3.6% rate.
Like Powell says, rate hikes have a lagging effect. So this aggressive tightening cycle’s effects could really hit us over the next year.
Therefore they may cease hiking rates after one more small hike (although rate cuts aren’t expected until 2024).
Just under three weeks until the March 2023 CPI report comes out. That’ll give us a better picture. |
|
|
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone. Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. |
|
|
|
If you no longer wish to receive our emails, click the link below:
Unsubscribe Base Camp Trading 5540 Centerview Drive Suite 204 Raleigh, North Carolina 27606 United States (919) 935-0010