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7/20/2021

Energy Realism this past week focused on the fool’s gold of electric vehicles (EVs) and intermittent renewable energy. 

Robert Bryce starts us off by bringing a reality check that many Americans apparently really need: EVs already lost the transportation race a long time ago to oil and its incredibly powerful derivative, gasoline. EVs were almost 40% of the U.S. vehicle fleet in 1900, and that is now down to below 1%, despite years of huge subsidies to encourage or even force their purchase.

And if we really are trying to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions, non-carbon nuclear energy is the forgotten climate solution. Geoffrey Pohanka explains why nuclear is far more reliable than weather-dependent wind and solar power, where their natural intermittency makes them more “supplemental” than “alternative.”

The political favoritism for EVs and renewable energy systems is not how any American system is supposed to work. Michael Busler reminds us that it is competition that presents the best outcomes for consumers with lower prices, higher quality, and more innovation. For energy, critical voices are starting to urge federal officials to make competitive markets a priority. All Americans stand to reap the rewards. 

Essential Reading

Oil and Gas Investment in the New Risk Environment

McMonigle et al., International Energy Forum, Boston Consulting Group

COVID-19 led to less global oil and gas demand and thus lower upstream investment to bring on more supply. But since consumption is expected to rebound, the present analysis finds that industry investment will have to rise over the next three years by at least 25% yearly from 2020 levels to stave off a crisis by 2030.

In the News

5 Minutes

Judith Curry, Climate Etc.

Boulder Officials: Actually, Our Climate Lawsuit Is About Driving "Systems-Level Change"

William Allison, Energy In Depth

EU Unveils Ambitious Climate Package as It Cools on Fossil Fuels

Luke McGee, CNN

Ohio Gov. Signs Bill Giving Commissioners ‘Kill Switch’ on Wind, Solar Projects

Jake Zuckerman, WTOL11

From Copenhagen to Paris: China’s Climate Governance Journey

Wu Yunong, China Dialogue

Lack of Climate Risk Analysis in U.S. Federal Retirement Fund Sparks Concern

David Sherfinski, Reuters

California Drought Could Make Housing Crisis Worse

Jared Aarons, 10 News San Diego

U.S. Companies Say Climate Change Is a Problem—Still Lobby Against Solutions

Michael Tobin, Bloomberg

How Climate Scenarios Lost Touch With Reality

Roger Pielke, Jr., Justin Ritchie, Issues in Science & Technology

Mexico Wind Farms Divide Communities

Bloomberg

Biden’s EV Goals May Be Fantasy, But the Profits the Swamp Is Making Are Real

Kelly Sadler, The Washington Times

Oil Has Become the Hottest Commodity on Wall Street

Irina Slav, Oil Price

Biden Wanted a Climate Alliance With Europe. He's Getting a Fight.

Zack Colman, Politico

U.S. Shale on Track for One Of Its Best Years Ever

Alex Kimani, Oil Price

California Moves to End Unfair $230/Year Rooftop Solar Subsidy for Rich

Paul Griffin, Energy Fairness

Multimedia

Merkel, Biden Face Tough Talks on Russian Gas Pipeline, China

France 24 English

Chancellor Angela #Merkel and President Joe #Biden hold #talks at the White House on Thursday that experts say are unlikely to yield major breakthroughs on divisive issues like a Rus...

Oil Prices Could 'Very Easily' Hit $100 a Barrel, Says Former U.S. Energy Secretary

CNBC International TV

Former U.S. Energy Secretary Dan Brouillette says although oil prices could hit $100 a barrel or higher, it is also equally possible to see prices collapse if there's no agreement on...

ESG Investing: “The Race of Our Lives”

WealthTrack

When legendary value investor Jeremy Grantham turned 80 he made two resolutions: “to be prepared to write a cheque up to the limits of your ability”, and to “say what you think you s...

ESG's Are the Reason for Woke Corporate Interests

PowerfulJRE

Joe Rogan talks with Adam Curry on ESG and woke companies. 

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