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10/12/2020

This week's curated content continues to reflect key grand strategy themes of troop withdrawal, America's relationship with China, and the foreign policy implications of the imminent presidential election in the United States.

President Trump's much-promised troop withdrawal gained fresh relevance after a series of recent tweets from the president assuring the public that troops would be home from Afghanistan in time for Christmas. To better understand the ambitions for troop withdrawal from Afghanistan, readers would benefit from Helene Cooper & Eric Schmitt's piece. Adam Weinstein offers a skeptical yet insightful analysis of Trump's ability to successfully withdraw troops from Afghanistan. Meanwhile, Daniel DePetris offers perspective on what exactly one means by the term "forever war" noting the Afghanistan war is just one year short of its 20th anniversary. 

Of course, the question of troop withdrawal suggests the larger question of how to avoid future forever wars such as Afghanistan. Daniel Larison offers an insightful piece on how to change Washington's "regime change addiction." Addressing electoral bottlenecks, Danny Sjursen acknowledges and laments that too many of the hawkish members of Congress were themselves veterans. 

As always, the biggest question in grand strategy has to do with managing our relationship with China into the 21st Century. Bonnie Kristian and Daniel DePetris offer advice and insight into how best to manage this relationship responsibly: with neither weakness nor naivete nor reckless aggression.

Finally, we direct readers to Kelley Beaucar Vlahos' piece on the incoherence of the Biden-Harris foreign policy for readers interested in how the 2020 election could impact grand strategy. 

Essential Reading

Alarums and Excursions: Explaining Threat Inflation in U.S. Foreign Policy

Benjamin H. Friedman, Cato Institute

Bottom line: The United States makes foreign policy like rich people shop: indulging luxurious tastes without much concern about price. U.S. leaders chronically exaggerate the nation...

In the News

Trump’s Promise to Bring All Troops Home for Christmas Is Divorced From Reality

Adam Weinstein, Responsible Statement

The US Doesn't Have to Believe Anything China Says, But It Doesn't Have to Pick a Fight with China Either

Bonnie Kristian, Business Insider

How Do We Stop Washington’s Regime Change Addiction?

Daniel Larison, American Conservative

Out-of-Touch, Incoherent Foreign Policy on Display in Harris-Pence Showdown

Kelley Beaucar Vlahos, Responsible Statecraft

Feeling Betrayed by Pro-War Combat Veterans in Congress

Danny Sjursen, Responsible Statecraft

U.S. Seeks to Draw Down Its Troops in Afghanistan to 2,500 by Early 2021

Helene Cooper & Eric Schmitt, New York Times

19 Years Later, Time to Leave Afghanistan Rather Than Sink Deeper Into an Unwinnable War

Daniel Davis, Washington Examiner

China’s Hardball Tactics Have Isolated It From the World

Willis L. Krumholz, The Federalist

Designating the Houthis Terrorists Will End Up Killing More Yemenis

Michael Horton, Responsible Statecraft

The War in Afghanistan Turns 19 Years Old

Daniel DePetris, Washington Examiner

Washington’s Dysfunctional Relationship with ‘Sultan’ Erdogan Is Getting Dangerous

Reşat Kasaba, Responsible Statecraft

Paranoia About Trump and Russia Is Dangerous for Our Foreign Policy

Ted Galen Carpenter, American Conservative

Yes, We Can Live With a Nuclear-Armed North Korea

Harry Kazianis, Responsible Statecraft

Washington as Wannabe Dictatress of the World: Targeting Newly Democratic Sudan

Doug Bandow, Antiwar.com

Southeast Asia Isn’t Interested in Joining a New Cold War

Daniel Larison, American Conservative

Multimedia

Refugees Are Everywhere, but Who Takes the Blame?

Empire Has No Clothes

This week, Kelley, Dan and Matt talk to David Vine, who co-wrote the Cost of War study that found that as many as 59,000 refugees were created in the wake of the U.S.-led 9/11 wars. We also hash out the pushback on the study’s methodology. In the first segment we talk about new U.S. threats to shutter our embassy in Iraq and why.

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