| Worse than the Great Depression | Primark won’t pay rent |
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Hi John, here's what you need to know for March 27th in 3:13 minutes.

✍️ Finimized while examining some creative childhood desk graffiti in Edinburgh, UK (10°C/50°F 🌤)

Today's big stories

  1. A record-breaking number of Americans filed for unemployment last week
  2. ICYMI: Our analysts looked into just how much further stocks might fall – Read Now
  3. Real estate investment firms like Blackstone could suffer massive losses if tenants don’t pay their rent
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Barely Gettin’ By

Barely Gettin’ By

What’s Going On Here?

Workin’ nine to five, what a way more than three million Americans used to make a livin’: data out on Thursday showed the most ever filed for unemployment benefits last week.

What Does This Mean?

The 3.28 million Americans who filed for unemployment wasn’t just a massive jump from last week’s two-and-a-half-year high: it also eclipsed economists’ forecasts and made the previous record of 695,000 – set during the Great Depression – look like small potatoes (tweet this).

While the speed and magnitude of job losses might’ve come as a surprise, the overall rise in unemployment didn’t. Coronavirus has led to the closure of hotels, gyms, and restaurants, and the latter alone – as America’s second-largest private employer – boasts a 16 million-strong workforce. With an estimated fifth of the US workforce currently on lockdown, rising unemployment’s an unavoidable consequence.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Up-to-data.
A lot of economic data is backward-looking, which means the economic situation will already have changed by the time analysts get a handle on it. But jobless claims reports are different in that they rapidly reflect current economic conditions. Investors are keenly aware of that too, which might be why stocks initially rose after Thursday’s report: a bigger-than-expected drop in employment now could mean we’re closer to the trough – and therefore to an eventual economic recovery.

For you personally: The “b” is silent.
Several governments have stepped up to cushion coronavirus’s impact on workers. The British government, for example, is paying 80% of salaries, while the US is sending cash to every man, woman, and child. That’s necessary partly because the average Brit has less than one month’s salary set aside for emergencies, and 20% of Americans don’t save anything at all. In a crisis, then, lots of people invariably turn to short-term debt like credit cards. Which is fine – just as long as you’re not racking up interest payments.

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ICYMI: When Will Stocks Bottom?

Stock markets around the world have now been in more-or-less constant decline for a month. Our analysts took a look at how low things can go – and how investors might know when the worst is over.

Get the full story in the Finimize app

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Evictile Dysfunction

Evictile Dysfunction

What’s Going On Here?

Private equity heavyweight Blackstone and British mall operator Intu are struggling to get their rental payments to come on time, and all this coronavirus-related stress isn’t helping.

What Does This Mean?

It’s not just Average Joes who are having trouble covering their bills: with coronavirus forcing the world into lockdown, companies have likewise been asking for more time to get their rent together.

Blackstone, the UK’s largest small business landlord, has agreed to defer payments for three months, but its tenants are at risk of being kicked to the curb if they can’t pay by then. Intu decided to reduce its service charge fees, but it didn’t seem to make much difference: the mall operator only received 30% of the rent it was owed this week. And given that Primark and Topshop (in the UK) and The Cheesecake Factory (in the US) have said they’ll continue to withhold rent payments, that doesn’t look like it’ll change any time soon – for Intu or others like it.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Real estate gets real.
One popular way to invest in property is through real estate investment trusts (REITs) – many of which are listed on the stock market. Part of their popularity could be down to the fact they’re “asset-backed” – i.e. tied to something physical – which keeps their values more stable than your average stock. Just keep in mind that if a real estate company’s income stops flowing because, say, its tenants stop paying rent, investors could be hit with the double whammy of falling share prices and declining property values.

The bigger picture: House sales self-isolate.
Spring is typically a popular time to buy and sell property, but since people aren’t free to view properties like they normally would, real estate portal Zoopla estimates UK house sales will drop by 60% in the next three months. House prices won’t necessarily follow, mind you: they’re more influenced by the economic fallout from coronavirus, like unemployment.

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💬 Quote of the day

“If you don’t like something, change it. If you can’t change it, change the way you think about it.”

– Mary Engelbreit (an artist)
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🌏 Finimize Community

🏋️‍♂️ Feel the earn

The world’s on lockdown, which means now’s the perfect time to get yourself financially fit. In the coming weeks, we’ll be connecting you with economic experts, Finimize analysts, and – most importantly – each other. First up:

🇬🇧 UK: Virtual Networking – March 27th, 5pm GMT
🌍 Global: Finimize Live AMA – April 1st, 1.30pm GMT
🇨🇦 Canada: The Economy & Investing in Tumultuous Times – April 2nd, 7.30pm EST
🇨🇦 Canada: Virtual Networking – April 2nd, 8pm EST

📈 All’s well that trends well

Here’s some of our most popular app content this week…

💰 Premium insights: An alternative way to make returns in uncertain times
🐻 Pack: How to make money in a downturn
😬 Premium insights: A single trader lost $200 million this month
😏 Premium insights: 47 stocks that look cheap right now
📉 Pack: How to recession-proof your portfolio
🧘‍♂️ Pack: How to stay cool when markets don’t

📚 What we're reading (that's not about coronavirus)

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