Welcome to the Transport Brief! The EU’s infamous Combustion Engine Ban, which will prohibit the sale of new cars powered by internal combustion engines as of 2035, continues to be hotly debated across Europe. A new survey conducted in Germany, France and Poland shows it as the least popular climate policy in all three countries, even behind measures like making petrol and diesel more expensive through higher carbon prices (see chart below). Little wonder, then, that Germany’s conservative parties CDU and CSU (EPP) are calling for its repeal in their manifesto for the EU elections, unveiled on Monday (11 March). While political opponents were quick to criticise the parties for backtracking on the EU’s climate agenda, it is worth looking beyond the headlines. Asked about the centrepiece of EU climate policy, the emissions trading scheme, CDU party leader Friedrich Merz and lead candidate Ursula von der Leyen defended the measure, arguing that it helps companies prepare for climate neutrality. So even if the focus of public debate shifts to competitiveness and economic growth, climate policies are unlikely to be abolished entirely. The bigger question is whether they will remain in place when they start to bite in everyday life, such as in 2027, when the new carbon price on road fuels could significantly increase petrol and diesel prices across the EU. Those interested in moving the climate agenda forward should start early to prepare good concepts for social compensation – taking public sentiment seriously would be a good first step. |