Quietest Trading Day of The Year We've seen other days this year where bonds have traded in a similarly narrow range, but none of those days boasted the exceptionally low volume seen today.  Even without it being an early close, it is still on track to being the lowest volume day of the year.  There was no reaction to the home price data this morning (nor would we expect that, even on a busy day), but the 2yr Treasury auction produced a bit of a response in shorter-term Treasuries.  10yr yields didn't react much, but they were able to turn a microscopic loss into an improvement of similar proportions (i.e. less than 1bp lower on the day). Econ Data / EventsCase Shiller Home Prices y/y 4.9 vs 4.9  FHFA Home Prices y/y6.3 vs 6.2  Market Movement Recap09:49 AM Sideways in a narrow range overnight.  Little changed now.  10yr down 0.2bps at 3.899.  MBS up 2 ticks (.06). 12:46 PM The flatness continues.  10yr up less than 1bp at 3.908.  MBS up 2 ticks (.06). 03:32 PM 10yr now less than 1bp lower at 3.893.  MBS up 1 tick (0.03).  Super slow trading.
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December 26, 2023
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MBS Commentary
Quietest Trading Day of The Year We've seen other days this year where bonds have traded in a similarly narrow range, but none of those days boasted the exceptionally low volume seen today.  Even without... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
After dropping precipitously from over 8% in late October to well under 7% by December 14th, mortgage rates have been stone silent.  In the 7 business days that have followed, the average top tier 30yr fixed rate hasn't moved enough to impact th... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
Did you receive any SM under the tree this weekend? Call it snail mucus, or snail mucin, it’s all the same to me, which, as a kid, represented a trail to something I could direct the sun’s rays on using my magnifying glass. (Sorry, when you’re a kid ... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries