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This year’s Super Bowl is the closest-matched game in five years, with the Chiefs slight favorites over the Eagles. |
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Your predictions = Your investments |
Kalshi is the only CFTC-regulated prediction market |
Prediction markets are booming. With billions wagered on real-world events, these markets aren’t just a curiosity — they’re an emerging asset class. |
And Kalshi is the only CFTC-approved platform, giving it a regulatory moat that competitors like Polymarket and PredictIt simply don’t have. |
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🔥 Hot markets right now: |
Who will win the Superbowl? Which Senators will vote for RFK? Who will win the Grammy for Song of the Year? |
Kalshi has built an entirely new asset class that gives Americans full control over their investments. |
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Psst — Wanna level up quickly? Read our issue: Prediction Markets Explained |
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📰 Market Headlines |
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Markets were mixed yesterday as investors chewed on the Fed’s modest stress test. |
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose 0.4% and 0.5%, respectively, while the Dow slipped 0.3%. Bank stocks popped after the Federal Reserve unveiled a 2025 stress test with softer economic challenges than previous years. |
US jobless claims rose by 11,000 to 219,000, while productivity growth slowed to 1.2% in Q4, pushing labor costs up 3%. |
President Trump announced plans to close the carried interest tax loophole, causing stocks like Apollo and KKR to drop. |
US Lawmakers proposed a ban on the Chinese AI app DeepSeek from federal devices, citing national security concerns. |
🧠 Make yourself heard |
So far, the Elon/DJT hydra has offered 2.3 million government employees the opportunity to leave their jobs. Fifty thousand have accepted, though a judge has stopped the process. |
🧑🏭 How many of those roles are important, actually? |
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📊 Ideas, trends, and analysis |
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French authorities seized 47 tonnes of cocaine in 2024, more than double the previous year's total of 23 tonnes. January 2025 recorded the highest global temperature for the month, with average temperatures 1.75°C above pre-industrial levels. |
😱 Fear and Greed Index |
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📊 Winners and losers |
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Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions |
Amazon sunk 4% after reporting tepid Q4 earnings. Eli Lilly surged 4.5% after reporting strong Q4 results; EPS beat estimates and revenue reached $13.53 billion. Affirm beat Q4 expectations on revenue, though net losses widened to $100.2 million; shares dipped 0.7%. e.l.f. Beauty plunged 18% despite Q4 earnings crushing estimates; investors focused on valuation concerns. Bristol-Myers Squibb jumped 4.5% after Q4 earnings topped estimates; though net income fell 28% to $1.21 billion. Hershey reported Q4 EPS ahead of estimates; shares retreated 2% on cocoa cost concerns. |
Market movers |
Tesla increased the US price of its Model X by $5,000, raising the base model to $84,990 and the plaid variant to $99,990. OpenAI began evaluating US states for data centers under its $500 billion Stargate AI project, with Texas as the flagship site. Electric-truck maker Nikola faced a 20% drop in shares after reports indicated it was nearing bankruptcy and exploring restructuring options. |
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🌍 Global Perspectives | | 🇬🇷 Greece declared a state of emergency on Santorini after 7,700 tremors in a week, prompting over 12,000 people to flee. 🇬🇱 Greenland banned foreign political donations following President Trump's interest in acquiring the island. 🇪🇪 🇱🇻 🇱🇹 The Baltics are bracing for cyberattacks as they disconnect from Russia's power grid. 🇨🇳 China appointed a ‘wolf warrior’ ambassador to Europe, signaling a tougher diplomatic stance. |
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The future of moving starts here. |
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Where you live shapes how you live. We make moving simpler, clearer, and better with tools that guide you from exploring new places to settling in. |
Become A Shareholder |
Read the Offering information carefully before investing. It contains details of the issuer’s business, risks, charges, expenses, and other information, which should be considered before investing. Obtain a Form C and Offering Memorandum at https://wefunder.com/lookyloo |
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📊 Crypto | | Trump Media announced plans to launch three ETFs including a Bitcoin fund under the Truth.Fi brand, with Charles Schwab as custodian. The Czech Republic eliminated taxes on crypto gains held over three years, while its central bank is considering adding Bitcoin to reserves. El Salvador stacked 12 Bitcoin in a day, bringing their total holdings to 6,068 BTC worth $554 million despite a recent IMF agreement. | |
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🎤 What you said last time |
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What you had to say: |
“pride cometh before the fall.” |
🧠 Miscellanea | Australian homeowners discovered 102 venomous snakes in their backyard. A Dutch hotel guest returned to find a grumpy seal napping in her room. A new zombie fungus is mind-controlling British spiders. Astronomers might need to nuke an asteroid heading toward Earth with a 1-in-40 chance of impact in 2032. |
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📺 What to Watch Today |
| He found 102 venomous snakes in his backyard! | Sunrise |
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That’s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know. | Cheers, | Wyatt |
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