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Hi John, here's what you need to know for March 13th in 3:15 minutes.

🤓 It’s not too late to tell us what you’re investing in while markets are volatile. Big tech is proving popular so far, along with airlines, banks, and crypto – and someone out there must be feeling flush: apparently they’re buying “commodities like toilet paper” 🚽 Take our flash quiz

Today's big stories

  1. The European Central Bank announced it’d keep rates as they are, but it did introduce some new measures to boost the economy
  2. ICYMI: Our analysts looked at whether “buying the dip” could be a good idea for long-term investors – Read Now
  3. The US government announced anti-coronavirus economy-boosting measures, but they didn’t appear to calm investors’ jitters
1/3

Fighting Talk

Fighting Talk

What’s Going On Here?

The European Central Bank (ECB) announced it’d leave eurozone interest rates unchanged on Thursday – but it had a few special moves in its arsenal to help European banks combat coronavirus.

What Does This Mean?

Eurozone interest rates are already at record lows, so unlike the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE), the ECB arguably had less flexibility to lower them than its global counterparts.

But the ECB did acknowledge earlier this week that, without urgent action, the bloc risks an economic shock reminiscent of the global financial crisis. The central bank’s actions, then, were focused on better equipping the region’s commercial banks to help prop up small businesses. It announced a fresh set of ultra-cheap loans available to banks that would, in turn, encourage them to lend more money to customers – as well as a new round of (private, rather than government) bond purchases (tweet this).

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Loan ranger.
Cheaper loans should in theory keep coronavirus-embattled companies from being caught out, and might even encourage firms to invest more when things start to settle down. And since that should eventually benefit those companies’ bottom lines, the idea is that investors see stocks as more attractive. But those investors don’t seem convinced the tried-and-tested strategy will be as effective this time around, which might be why they didn’t buy up stocks on Thursday. In fact, European stocks fell 10% – their biggest-ever single-day decline.

The bigger picture: Another cut?
The Fed will update its interest rate outlook again next week, when – according to analysts at TS Lombard – the central bank will follow last week’s cut with another, even bigger one. And while it’d be unlikely to have an immediate effect (last week’s didn’t), the prospect of a global economy awash with cheap cash when coronavirus dissipates – and all the rapid growth that could generate – might have some investors rubbing their (clean?) hands.

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2/3 Premium

Buy The Dip?

It’s been a volatile few weeks for stock markets round the world, which begs the question: is now the perfect time to take advantage of coronavirus-hit stocks, or is the worst yet to come? Our analysts take a look.

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3/3

Wake-Up Call

Wake-Up Call

What’s Going On Here?

The US should’ve known better than to reason with a newly-awakened “bear market” before it'd enjoyed its economic stimulus: the economy-boosting measures the country announced late on Wednesday were met with investor selling on Thursday.

What Does This Mean?

The US president proposed three measures: paid leave for ill or quarantined workers and carers, loans for small businesses to help offset lost cash flow, and a penalty-free deferral for certain tax payments ahead of the next corporate tax deadline in April.

The mooted tax cuts for workers and companies were nowhere to be seen, mind you. But analysts at investment bank Goldman Sachs think it’s only a matter of time: if the economic outlook continues to deteriorate, they’ve said, it won’t be long before those cuts are enacted too.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: The bears are out.
Now that the key US stock market index – the S&P 500 – has fallen more than 20% from its last high, we’re officially in a bear market. It’s partly been caused by investors – institutional and retail alike – taking money out of funds: these so-called “redemptions” have forced investment managers to sell off assets so they can return the cash to those asking for it, while some might’ve sold more than necessary in anticipation of upcoming redemptions. All of this may have spurred other investors to sell off their holdings too. Some of those investors will now be bracing for a recession, which tends to follow a bear market – though exactly when is anyone’s guess…

Zooming out: Drops of opportunity?
Saudi Arabia and Russia’s oil spat is exacerbating the recent decline in the commodity’s price. And with oil firms now cutting their once-sacrosanct dividends for fear of going bust – including Apache on Thursday – some investors think the already-subsidized energy industry may soon be bailed out by the US government. Those investors, then, have reportedly used exchange-traded funds to buy up groups of oil companies they reckon will benefit from added support.

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💬 Quote of the day

“You see, Jason was my son, and today is his birthday…”

– Pamela Voorhees (a character from the "Friday the 13th" film series)
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🤔 Q&A · RE: Stuck In The Pasta

“What are the different effects of monetary versus fiscal stimulus, and when would you use which?”

– Winnie in Toronto, Canada

“There’s not much difference between the effects of monetary and fiscal stimulus, Winnie: both ultimately help control economic growth or the rate at which prices of goods and services increase (a.k.a. inflation). The difference is how they achieve it: monetary stimulus – which is controlled by central banks that are, in most markets, independent from the government and able to act quickly – involves manipulating interest rates and the money supply. Fiscal stimulus, on the other hand, includes things like tax cuts and infrastructure spending, and as such is controlled by the government. So if the government in question lacks the support for those spending decisions or has too much debt already, it might take longer to have its measures approved than central banks’ monetary stimulus.”

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In case you missed it...

📈 All’s well that trends well

Here’s some of the most popular content on the Finimize app this week…

🐻 Pack: How you can profit from a bear market
👇 Premium Insights: Should you buy the dip?
😥 Premium Insights:
Why rising “bank stress” matters
📉 Pack: How to recession-proof your portfolio
🤞 Premium Insights: How big investors are managing their money
💰 Pack: How to identify great value stocks in a bear market

📚 What we're reading

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