The latest moves in crypto markets, in context Edited by Omkar Godbole October 28, 2021 Sponsored by (Price data as of October 28 @ 11:00 UTC) If you were forwarded this newsletter and would like to receive it, sign up here.
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Biggest Movers These are the biggest movers in the CoinDesk 20 over the past 24 hours:
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Market Moves by Omkar Godbole Bitcoin climbed back above $60,000 early Thursday, as ether, the native cryptocurrency of Ethereum's blockchain, jumped over 6% to $4,170, erasing Wednesday's price drop.
The market focus seems to be shifting to ETH 2.0 – Ethereum's impending transition from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake mechanism – and the possibility of an ether exchange-traded fund debut (ETF) in the wake of the recent launch of bitcoin futures ETFs in the U.S.
That's evident from the spike in the spread between the six-month implied volatility (IV) for ether (ETH) and bitcoin (BTC). It's a measure of expected price turbulence in ether relative to bitcoin, and it has risen to 25%, the highest since June 13.
Historically, the spread has proven to be a reliable indicator of upcoming shifts in market leadership. A rising spread indicates ether may lead the broader market in the coming weeks. Bond Traders Price In Aggressive Rate Hikes U.S. two-year yield (Source: TradingView) Ether's options market is biased bullish, with traders piling into deep out-of-the-money calls or bullish bets, specifically the one at $15,000 strike expiring in March 2020.
According to Raoul Pal, CEO and co-founder of financial media group Real Vision, ether looks to be mimicking bitcoin's 2017 price trajectory and could see a meteoric rise in coming weeks. Bitcoin rose from $1,000 to nearly $20,000 in 2017, with the majority of the rally happening in the final quarter.
However, it may not be a smooth ride if traditional markets become risk-averse in response to the rising probability of faster interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
Technician's Take by Omkar Godbole Bitcoin's Head & Shoulders (H&S) Breakdown While bitcoin's bounce to $61,000 has invalidated the bearish head-and-shoulders (H&S) breakdown witnessed Wednesday, the cryptocurrency is not out of the woods yet. Bitcoin's 4-hour price chart (Source: TradingView)
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A Message from CoinDesk What will 2022 bring? Crypto 2022 is CoinDesk’s ambitious effort to scope out what’s next. This week it's Policy Week, a week devoted to exploring the complex ways governments are interacting with the cryptocurrency ecosystem, and how policy decisions or lack thereof will affect the year ahead. Read more here.
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Disclaimer: The information presented in this message is intended as a news item that provides a brief summary of various events and developments that affect, or that might in the future affect, the value of one or more of the cryptocurrencies described above. The information contained in this message, and any information liked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. The information presented herein is accurate only as of its date, and it was not prepared by a research analyst or other investment professional. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency before deciding to purchase or sell any such instruments.
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