| Central banks man the pumps | Coronavirus hates Mondays |

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Hi John, here's what you need to know for March 20th in 3:08 minutes.

🌍 Finimized while making sense of a world in flux via the Financial Times.

Today's big stories

  1. Governments and central banks rolled out even more measures to shore up the global economy from the worst effects of the virus
  2. Our analysts look at what the stockpickers profiting from the coronavirus crisis can teach us – Read Now
  3. US jobs data gave investors an early peek at the economic symptoms of the disease in the world’s biggest economy
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Without A Paddle

Without A Paddle

What’s Going On Here?

Governments and central banks are putting their backs into yet more measures that'll hopefully keep the global economy afloat on this suspicious-looking creek.

What Does This Mean?

Three major central banks each took their turn in the spotlight. First, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced it’d buy more than $800 billion worth of bonds in an effort to slash the cost of borrowing for eurozone governments and companies and, in turn, encourage spending. The Bank of England, meanwhile, announced billions of dollars worth of its own bond purchases, and threw in a second emergency interest rate cut for good measure. That brings its benchmark rate to just 0.1% – the lowest in its 325-year history.

Across the Atlantic, the US Federal Reserve took steps to support popular “money-market funds”, which investors have been selling off recently despite the funds’ low-risk reputation. Not to be left out, the country’s government then laid out details of the cash payments – of $1,000 per adult and $3,000 for a family of four – it plans to send all Americans.

Why Should I Care?

For you personally: No such thing as free money.
Our American Finimizers may well end up with a tasty $1,000 in their checking account within weeks – and possibly another grand further down the line. That’s nothing to sniff at in these troubled times. Of course, these deposits – as well as the proposed tax cuts – will need to be paid for eventually. One way the government’s reportedly considering doing that: offering up 50-year bonds for the first time.

For markets: Witch, please.
While recent efforts from central banks and governments have been met with shrugs, European bond investors initially welcomed the ECB’s plans on Thursday, and prices of Italian, Spanish, and Portuguese bonds all rallied (tweet this). And some think that bullishness could continue into Friday if the regular end-of-quarter expiration of stock market options – a process known as “witching” – forces a large number of investors to close their bearish “short” bets.

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2/3 Premium

Stockpickers Are Split

Recent stock market declines might’ve alarmed “passive” investors, whose portfolios track the movements of an entire index up or down. But even professional “active” investors – supposedly experts at seeking out investments that outperform the market – have been struggling of late…

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Under New Management

Under New Management

What’s Going On Here?

There’s a new boss in town, and it’s wasting no time cleaning house: fresh US jobs data out Thursday showed the coronavirus is already forcing businesses to lay off American workers.

What Does This Mean?

Unemployment benefit claims climbed to 281,000 last week – a two-and-a-half-year high and an increase of 70,000 from the week before. Worst hit was Nevada, whose winning streak came to an end as its Las Vegas casinos shut down in the name of social distancing. Even so, this is likely only the tip of the unemployment iceberg, with data released next Thursday expected to show at least two million newly unemployed Americans.

Not to be a Debbie Downer, but Thursday’s other reports weren’t much better either: Philadelphia’s factory activity deteriorated by the most on record, while German business confidence plunged to the lowest level since 2009.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Incubation period.
These releases were the first raindrops of what could well become a downpour of miserable economic data in the coming weeks – which won’t surprise anyone who’s been watching the financial headlines. Still, with US stocks down about 30% from their peak, markets seem to have pre-empted the negative data. So the question for investors isn’t really whether future economic releases will be poor, it’s whether they’ll be better or worse than feared. Next up: manufacturing activity and consumer sentiment surveys, released on Tuesday and Friday respectively.

The bigger picture: Temperature rising. 
Employment held up better than many had predicted throughout the 2008 financial crisis, when employees agreed to pay cuts or reduced hours to avoid layoffs. But job-saving compromises might be trickier to reach if the hardest-hit companies this time around end up failing entirely: a closed casino or shuttered store isn’t exactly going to keep employing people – pay cuts or otherwise – if there's no business to speak of.

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💬 Quote of the day

“We cannot destroy kindred. Our chains stretch a little sometimes, but they never break.”

– Marie de Rabutin-Chantal (a French aristocrat)
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😢 In case you missed it

📈 All’s well that trends well

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