Weed mergers are a joint effort | EU is rushed off its feet |

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Hi John, here's what you need to know for December 17th in 3:10 minutes.

🔥 Today’s special guest speaker is the ex-CEO of Canopy Growth, the world’s biggest cannabis company. You’ll have the chance to ask Bruce your burning questions about the weed and psychedelics industry, and find out if its stocks will make your returns get high. Get your free ticket here

Today's big stories

  1. Cannabis companies Tilray and Aphria announced they’re merging their businesses
  2. You might be able to turn investors' record-breaking bullishness for next year to your advantage – Read Now
  3. New data showed European economic activity this month has been better than expected

Doping Mechanism

Doping Mechanism

What’s Going On Here?

Tilray and Aphria are remarkably chilled out about the post-pandemic future: the Canadian cannabis companies announced a merger on Wednesday, creating the world’s biggest cannabis producer by sales (tweet this).

What Does This Mean?

The newly merged company will boast 17% of the Canadian cannabis market, but Tilray and Aphria aren’t stopping there: they’re keen to break into the potentially massive US market too. And they might've already made the move a lot easier for themselves. Tilray, for one, is headquartered in Canada but registered as a US firm, and it became the first cannabis company to debut on one of the key American stock markets back in 2018. Aphria’s recent acquisition of US brewer SweetWater, meanwhile, should give them an invaluable distribution point south of the Canadian border. Far out.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Up in smoke. 
Investors seemed to dig the prospect of two of the biggest names in the cannabis industry joining forces, with Aphria and Tilray’s stocks initially jumping 6% and 27% respectively. That could have something to do with the timing: the US took one step closer toward becoming the world’s biggest cannabis market last month, with various states voting to relax their rules and the election of a more weed-friendly president-elect. But investors might want to chill, man: an opposition-controlled US Senate is unlikely to sign off on full legalization even if the president-elect were on board with it himself – which he’s not.

For markets: Drink it in. 
At least Tilray and Aphria have something to fall back on if the US market takes a few more years to open up. Aphria’s ownership of SweetWater and Tilray’s partnership with beer brewer AB InBev puts them at the forefront of the cannabis-infused drinks market, which stands to benefit from the trend away from alcohol and sugary drinks in favor of healthier, potentially more therapeutic options.

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2. Analyst Take

How To Profit From Record-Breaking Bullishness

What’s Going On Here?

More and more major banks and brokerages are publishing their outlooks for the year, and they’re proving to be very positive indeed.

In fact, a new survey shows investors are predicting a record 71% chance that global stock markets will climb over the next year.

And they don’t just agree on the what, they agree on the how: they’re expecting a rotation away from the fast-growing companies that dominated 2020 toward cheaper, “value” alternatives.

But you might not agree, and if you’re prepared to put your money where your mouth is, there could be opportunities aplenty.

So that’s today’s Insight: the big banks’ bets for next year’s top trends, and how you can respond to them.

Read or listen to the Insight here

Side Hustlin’

Side Hustlin’

What’s Going On Here?

Fresh December economic activity data out on Wednesday showed the eurozone’s had more on its plate than expected recently, but at least it seems to be rising to the challenge.

What Does This Mean?

Quick reminder: business managers are asked to complete surveys on how busy they’ve been every month – or in this case, leading up to Christmas – to give an indication of economic activity as a whole. And so far in December, a growing manufacturing sector has been more than offset by a shrinking services industry (think everything from restaurants to accountants). So while activity in the eurozone is declining slightly overall, it’s falling by less than economists thought it would. That stronger end to the year might go some way to help the bloc’s economy grow by more – or, uh, shrink by less – than the 2% drop the European Central Bank (ECB) is forecasting.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Friendly competition. 
The ECB said earlier this week that the region’s commercial banks – like Santander and Unicredit – will be allowed to start paying limited dividends again next year. It admittedly might not have had much choice after the Bank of England gave its banks the go-ahead last week, which may encourage investors – whose dividends are notoriously important to them – to yank their cash out of eurozone banks in favor of British ones. But whatever the central bank’s motivation, its decision could lure investors back toward banks’ cheap-looking “value” stocks and away from the high growth of the tech industry.

The bigger picture: Made in America.
The US’s own survey data on Wednesday pointed to a pick-up in both manufacturing and services industry activity, but the latter still fell short of expectations. That stands to reason: other newly published data showed the country’s retail sales fell by more than expected both last month and the month before, and it’s no stretch to think that the drop-off could’ve carried into this one too.

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💬 Quote of the day

“We judge ourselves by our intentions and others by their behavior.”

― Stephen M.R. Covey (an American writer)
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😷 What a year…

No, really, what a year: for all the highs and mostly very lows, you’ve come out of it a smarter investor. And that’s our plan for the next one too: to make sure you get even better with your money. But we can’t do it without your help. So join our CEO this Friday to find out more about where we’re headed next, and tell us how you can help make your experience that much better.

End-of-Year Q&A with our CEO: 1pm UK Time, December 18th

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