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Monday, September 4, 2023
As I went through the process of doing my Week 1 rankings, I was reminded of how much more streamlined that process is than the season-long rankings we've been focused on for the past few months. There, you have to take into account long-term risk and reward; how do you rank someone like James Conner, who projects for a steady workload vs. Breece Hall, who may open the season with a pretty limited role – if he even plays in Week 1, no certainty – but could have top-five upside for the stretch run.
It's a lot more straightforward when you're just ranking for Week 1. You simply rank who you think will score the most points the highest, and then who you think will score the second-most points second-highest, and so on and so forth. This peak behind the curtain is brought to you by Captain Obvious Industries. 
Nothing is ever actually as straightforward as that, of course, but the transition from draft season to in-season does at least make the rankings process a little simpler. 
While I know many of you still have drafts left, today marks the official transition to Week 1 around these parts – though, of course, I've still got two drafts left myself. We'll still have draft content for you below, but my focus now switches to Week 1, and I've got my first set of weekly rankings in today's newsletter. 
For those of you who still have drafts remaining, our Draft Day Cheat Sheet has literally everything you need to prepare. For everyone else, here are my Week 1 rankings: 
Fantasy Football players are excited about what Anthony Richardson can bring to the table as a rookie starter, and I've got him on a few of my rosters, with the hopes he can turn into a must-start Fantasy QB in the long run. But can you really trust him in Week 1?
  1. Patrick Mahomes – vs. DET
  2. Josh Allen – @NYJ
  3. Jalen Hurts – @NE
  4. Lamar Jackson – vs. HOU
  5. Joe Burrow – @CLE
  6. Justin Herbert – vs. MIA
  7. Justin Fields – vs. GB
  8. Trevor Lawrence – @IND
  9. Tua Tagovailoa – @LAC
  10. Geno Smith  – vs. LAR
  11. Kirk Cousins – vs. TB
  12. Dak Prescott – @NYG
We know Jonathan Taylor isn't going to play for the first four weeks of the 2023 NFL season, but that's about all we know for certain about the  Colts running back situation heading into Week 1. 
Uncertainty isn't necessarily a bad thing for Fantasy draft season, because so many of your picks are going to be speculative by nature. Viewed from a certain perspective, uncertainty is just another word for "potential" in Fantasy Football. But, things change when it comes time to actually set your lineup. Because suddenly, all of those speculative, late-round fliers you threw out there may be facing a situation where they have no role to speak of in Week 1. However, in the Colts situation, uncertainty still could mean potential for the likes of  Deon JacksonEvan Hull, and Zack Moss . We just don't yet know for whom as Week 1 looms ... 
  1. Christian McCaffrey – @PIT
  2. Austin Ekeler – vs. MIA
  3. Bijan Robinson – vs. CAR
  4. Saquon Barkley – vs. DAL
  5. Josh Jacobs  – @DEN
  6. Tony Pollard – @NYG
  7. Derrick Henry – @NO
  8. Nick Chubb – vs. CIN
  9. Joe Mixon – @CLE
  10. Kenneth Walker  – vs. LAR
  11. Travis Etienne – @IND
  12. Aaron Jones – @CHI
  13. Rhamondre Stevenson – vs. PHI
  14. Alexander Mattison – vs. TB
  15. Jahmyr Gibbs  – @KC
  16. JK Dobbins – vs. HOU
  17. Dameon Pierce – @BAL
  18. Miles Sanders – @ATL
  19. Najee Harris – vs. SF
  20. Rachaad White  – @MIN
  21. James Cook – @NYJ
  22. James Conner – @WAS
  23. David Montgomery – @KC
  24. Javonte Williams – vs. LV
Let's say you drafted your Fantasy Football team a few weeks ago and then stopped paying attention to NFL news until today. Let's further stipulate that you drafted a receiving corps with  Cooper KuppTerry McLaurinJerry Jeudy, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba  at the top of your depth charts. Chances are, you probably felt pretty good about that team leaving your draft, right?
Are you sitting down?
Alright, well, I've got some bad news for you: I'm not projecting any of those four players to play in Week 1. None of them have been officially ruled out as of Sunday afternoon, but it doesn't look great for any of them ... 
  1. Justin Jefferson – vs. TB
  2. Ja'Marr Chase – @CLE
  3. Tyreek Hill – @LAC
  4. Stefon Diggs – @NYJ
  5. Amon-Ra St. Brown  – @KC
  6. A.J. Brown – @NE
  7. CeeDee Lamb – @NYG
  8. Davante Adams – @DEN
  9. Jaylen Waddle – @LAC
  10. Garrett Wilson  – vs. BUF
  11. DK Metcalf – vs. LAR
  12. Tee Higgins – @CLE
  13. Keenan Allen – vs. MIA
  14. Devonta Smith – @NE
  15. Calvin Ridley – @IND
  16. Chris Olave – vs. TEN
  17. Deebo Samuel – @PIT
  18. Tyler Lockett – vs. LAR
  19. Chris Godwin – @MIN
  20. Amari Cooper  – vs. CIN
  21. DeAndre Hopkins – @NO
  22. D.J. Moore – vs. GB
  23. Christian Watson – @CHI
  24. Diontae Johnson – vs. SF
Tyler Higbee was not a guy who got anyone excited during Fantasy Football draft season, but you might be glad you've got him around for Week 1, at least. Because, with  Cooper Kupp  dealing with a hamstring injury, Higbee might just be Matthew Stafford's No. 1 target for the season opener against the Seahawks.
Now, that doesn't mean Higbee is necessarily going to be a must-start Fantasy option moving forward, even in Week 1 ... 
  1. Travis Kelce – vs. DET
  2. Mark Andrews – vs. HOU
  3. TJ Hockenson – vs. TB
  4. Darren Waller – vs. DAL
  5. Dallas Goedert  – @NE
  6. Kyle Pitts – vs. CAR
  7. George Kittle – @PIT
  8. Tyler Higbee – @SEA
  9. Evan Engram – @IND
  10. David Njoku – vs. CIN
  11. Gerald Everett – vs. MIA
  12. Juwan Johnson – vs. TEN
 
 
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