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| Tuesday, September 28, 2021 |
| So, was the reaction to Ezekiel Elliott's Week 1 just a massive overreaction? It sure seems like it. Elliott ran the ball very effectively in Monday's win over the Eagles, racking up 95 yards on 17 carries and a pair of touchdowns, and he now has 44.3 PPR points over the last two games. |
| Just like that, Elliott is RB7 on the season. Some will point to Tony Pollard's role -- one he continues to impress in, it should be noted! -- as reason to be skeptical about Elliott, but the truth is, Elliott has dominated snaps in this backfield and outside of a strange game script against the best run defense in football, Elliott has been very effective. |
| Which is to say, there's no reason to think he's going to lose his job anytime soon. And there's not really any reason to think Elliott won't be a must-start Fantasy option moving forward. It was nice to get confirmation of that heading into Week 4. |
| In today's newsletter, you can find Jamey Eisenberg's top priorities on the waiver wire for Week 4 as well as the first look at my rankings for Week 3 in today's newsletter, but first, here's a very quick rundown on the news you need to know from Monday: |
- A.J. Brown is "week to week" with a hamstring injury.
- JuJu Smith-Schuster is day to day with a rib injury.
- KJ Hamler has a torn ACL and will undergo season-ending surgery.
- Sean McVay is "hopeful" Darrell Henderson (ribs) will be able to play in Week 4. I've got Sony Michel as a top-15 RB with Henderson out, but Henderson would be projected for a very similar role if he does play.
- James White is out indefinitely with a hip subluxation.
- Giovani Bernard is day to day with an MCL sprain.
- The Chiefs signed Josh Gordon to the practice squad. The expectation is he'll join the active roster when he's ready.
- The Jaguars acquired TE Dan Arnold from the Panthers along with a third-round pick in exchange for former first-round DB C.J. Henderson and a fifth-rounder.
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| And here's what we've got on tap in today's newsletter: |
- ➕Top Week 4 Waiver Wire Targets
- 📈Week 4 Rankings📉
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| ➕Top Week 4 Waiver Wire Targets |
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Week 3 may not have that obvious must-add running back, but it might have even more potential difference makers on the waiver-wire than last week. So, you need to know how to best allocate your resources tonight. Jamey Eisenberg's Waiver Wire column is up and ready for you to get all the help you need. You can find there here. Here are the top targets for this week's run: |
| Jamey Eisenberg's top targets |
- Chuba Hubbard (45% rostered) -- Filling in for Christian McCaffrey made Mike Davis a must-start Fantasy option last season, so while McCaffrey is only expected to miss a couple of weeks with this hamstring injury, Hubbard is a high priority for anyone who needs help at running back. If you're 0-3 and need a starting RB, Hubbard might be worth up to 50% of your FAB. He should be the lead back, but in deeper leagues consider adding Royce Freeman in case the Panthers go in an unexpected direction.
- Tim Patrick (60%) -- Patrick has been productive every time he has gotten an opportunity in the NFL, and with KJ Hamler (knee) joining Jerry Jeudy (ankle) on the sidelines, Patrick has an even bigger opportunity now. He should be the No. 2 target for Teddy Bridgewater moving forward, and could be a top-30 WR.
- Emmanuel Sanders (59%) -- Readers of this newsletter shouldn't be surprised that Sanders had a breakout game in Week 3 -- I was calling it all week. Josh Allen solved his early accuracy issues and Sanders turned in a huge game. Allen is looking for Sanders down the field consistently, and opportunities for big plays have been there in all three games. He's a high-upside WR3.
- Jakobi Meyers (59%) -- Here's an easy-to-spot pattern: In the Patriots two losses, Meyers has 23 targets; in their win, he had six. The Patriots host the Buccaneers in a game where they opened as 5.5-point underdogs. You do the math.
- Hunter Renfrow (20%) -- I'm fairly confident Renfrow isn't even one of the Raiders three most talented receivers, but he's second on the team in targets and continues to produce. There isn't a ton of upside here, but Renfrow has a nice safe floor in PPR.
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| One (more) target for each position |
- QB: Taylor Heinicke (13%) -- Heinicke is fearless, and that's going to lead to a lot of dumb mistakes. But it's also going to lead him to take chances to find his playmakers down the field, and given his rushing abilities and a Week 4 matchup with the Falcons, I like Heinicke as a streamer for this week.
- RB: Peyton Barber (7%) -- Barber did a pretty good Josh Jacobs imitation in Week 3 and could be a low-end starting option if Jacobs is out for Monday's game against the Chargers.
- WR: Nick Westbrook (0%) -- Alright, here's a really, really deep option. With A.J. Brown seemingly likely out for Week 4 and Julio Jones missing the fourth quarter of Sunday's game with what Mike Vrabel unhelpfully labeled "tightness," there could be an opportunity for Westbrook to step up.
- TE: Tyler Conklin (4%) -- We identified Conklin as someone who could step up and make an impact with Irv Smith out for the season, and he finally did that in Week 3 against the Seahawks, catching seven passes for 70 yards and a touchdown. He has 13.3% target share and could end up the No. 3 option in this passing game.
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| 📈Week 4 Rankings📉 |
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Here's where things stand for me in my first run through of the Week 4 rankings for PPR leagues. You can find Jamey, Dave, and Heath's rankings right here: |
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- Patrick Mahomes
- Josh Allen
- Kyler Murray
- Lamar Jackson
- Justin Herbert
- Matthew Stafford
- Dak Prescott
- Tom Brady
- Jalen Hurts
- Russell Wilson
- Aaron Rodgers
- Derek Carr
- Kirk Cousins
- Ryan Tannehill
- Sam Darnold
- Taylor Heinicke
- Joe Burrow
- Baker Mayfield
- Teddy Bridgewater
- Daniel Jones
- Justin Fields
- Matt Ryan
- Jacoby Brissett
- Jimmy Garoppolo
- Jameis Winston
- Trevor Lawrence
- Jared Goff
- Ben Roethlisberger
- Mac Jones
- Carson Wentz
- Zach Wilson
- Davis Mills
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- Derrick Henry
- Alvin Kamara
- Austin Ekeler
- Joe Mixon
- Najee Harris
- Aaron Jones
- D'Andre Swift
- Saquon Barkley
- Nick Chubb
- Alexander Mattison
- Antonio Gibson
- Jonathan Taylor
- Ezekiel Elliott
- Sony Michel
- Chris Carson
- James Robinson
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire
- David Montgomery
- Chase Edmonds
- Mike Davis
- Myles Gaskin
- Kenyan Drake
- Miles Sanders
- Cordarrelle Patterson
- Leonard Fournette
- Kareem Hunt
- Nyheim Hines
- Chuba Hubbard
- Jamaal Williams
- Devin Singletary
- Michael Carter
- Melvin Gordon
- Tony Pollard
- Ty Johnson
- Javonte Williams
- Trey Sermon
- Peyton Barber
- Zack Moss
- Royce Freeman
- David Johnson
- Ty'Son Williams
- Damien Harris
- J.D. McKissic
- Latavius Murray
- Kenneth Gainwell
- Brandon Bolden
- James Conner
- Mark Ingram
- Ronald Jones
- AJ Dillon
- Jeremy McNichols
- Tony Jones
- Carlos Hyde
- Jake Funk
- Phillip Lindsay
- Darrel Williams
- Salvon Ahmed
- Malcolm Brown
- Damien Williams
- Devontae Booker
- Larry Rountree
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- Davante Adams
- Tyreek Hill
- Cooper Kupp
- Stefon Diggs
- CeeDee Lamb
- Tyler Lockett
- Justin Jefferson
- D.K. Metcalf
- Keenan Allen
- Mike Williams
- Amari Cooper
- Calvin Ridley
- D.J. Moore
- DeAndre Hopkins
- Chris Godwin
- Terry McLaurin
- Chase Claypool
- Julio Jones
- Mike Evans
- Robert Woods
- Deebo Samuel
- Courtland Sutton
- Brandin Cooks
- Odell Beckham
- Tyler Boyd
- Ja'Marr Chase
- Allen Robinson
- Adam Thielen
- Marquise Brown
- DeVonta Smith
- Emmanuel Sanders
- Michael Pittman
- Jaylen Waddle
- Jakobi Meyers
- Kenny Golladay
- Cole Beasley
- Tim Patrick
- Mecole Hardman
- Marvin Jones
- Corey Davis
- Brandon Aiyuk
- Robby Anderson
- Hunter Renfrow
- Henry Ruggs
- Laviska Shenault
- Rondale Moore
- Sammy Watkins
- DJ Chark
- AJ Green
- Jalen Reagor
- Devante Parker
- Braxton Berrios
- Darnell Mooney
- Christian Kirk
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling
- Bryan Edwards
- Will Fuller
- Zach Pascal
- Terrace Marshall Jr.
- James Washington
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- Travis Kelce
- Darren Waller
- George Kittle
- T.J. Hockenson
- Mark Andrews
- Rob Gronkowski
- Logan Thomas
- Noah Fant
- Kyle Pitts
- Tyler Higbee
- Dalton Schultz
- Dallas Goedert
- Tyler Conklin
- Evan Engram
- Jared Cook
- Jonnu Smith
- Mike Gesicki
- Austin Hooper
- Jack Doyle
- Robert Tonyan
- Dawson Knox
- Blake Jarwin
- Gerald Everett
- Zach Ertz
- Cole Kmet
- Juwan Johnson
- Adam Trautman
- Hunter Henry
- Eric Ebron
- Tommy Tremble
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| Top-150 Flex Rankings |
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