What’s going on here? It’s a bird… It’s a plane... It’s Nvidia’s earnings flying beyond expectations again. What does this mean? Nvidia made 3% more revenue than analysts expected last quarter, while profit beat projections by 6%. That had a lot to do with the tech company’s new Blackwell AI chips. Nvidia described demand for them as “amazing”, contributing some $11 billion to its $39 billion of sales last quarter. This financial year’s shaping up nicely so far, too: Nvidia thinks it’ll bring in some $42 billion of revenue. And although those Blackwell chips will lower its gross margins by more than analysts thought, the firm’s overall profit could still land a little higher than predicted this quarter – all else equal. Why should I care? For markets: Do that, but every quarter for the next decade. Nvidia is expensive by almost every metric. But, like forking out for business class flights or a pure silk shirt, you might be able to justify the cost if the AI darling proves itself as a cut above the rest. So far, so good then, with the better-than-expected quarter it just reported. But Nvidia needs to grow at least 30% a year on average for the next decade to justify its current share price. Any sign of disruption to that trajectory could lead to a sharp selloff. The bigger picture: DeepSeek and you shall find a risk. Investors have two main concerns about Nvidia right now. One: DeepSeek’s efficient AI systems could reduce the number of chips needed. Then again, if cheaper models mean more folk use the tools, DeepSeek’s impact could expand the entire market – keeping Nvidia’s sales on track. Two: recent reports of Microsoft canceling its data center contracts could signal that Big Tech’s shrinking its big-bet budget. That said, Microsoft might just be spending differently, not less. The firm could simply be planning to use Oracle's data centers as part of their partnership rather than its own. |