If there was an award for the most contagious virus, measles would be a frontrunner. It can hang in the air for hours, and one infected person will pass it on to almost every unvaccinated person they meet. One in five people infected require hospitalization, and nearly one in 300 infected children die. Surviving doesn’t mean you’re in the clear, either: this particular virus erases the immune system’s memory of every virus, vaccine and bacterium it’s ever encountered, leaving people more likely to acquire other illnesses once they’ve recovered.
Thanks to high childhood vaccination rates—92 per cent nationwide—Canada typically experiences only a few measles cases annually, usually in travellers. But in the first few months of 2024, there have been almost twice as many cases as in all of 2023, and community transmission may be beginning in Ontario and Quebec. In Montreal, where public health has confirmed 14 cases since early February, several thousand people have been exposed.
I spoke to McMaster University immunologist Dawn Bowdish, who says that Canada could be on the cusp of a serious problem. Between pandemic-related vaccine disruptions, antibiotic resistance and an overstretched health system, we’re facing a cascade of simultaneous crises that could leave us vulnerable. “If community transmission can be traced and stopped, we may not end up having massive outbreaks,” she says. “But if we don’t? It’s just so incredibly contagious.”
—Jadine Ngan, digital editor