Dear Reader,

When it comes to geopolitical uncertainty, recession, and inflation, it can be tempting to run in search of break-glass-in-case-of-emergency safe haven plays.

In choppy markets though, there are no real safe havens, only safe strategies.

That’s why I’ve spent the last few weeks modeling trade ideas to find a working strategy for these turbulent markets.

The right strategy needs to be flexible… you need a wider set of solutions right now.

In short, you should be looking at big names, mega-caps with strong balance sheets, pricing power, and the ability to absorb (even benefit from) geopolitical uncertainty…

But we should also model some scenarios to check our thinking.

• What if a series of (possibly aggressive) interest rate hikes from the Fed doesn’t tame inflation?
• What if there’s a recession around the corner—what if we’re already in recession?
• What happens if the conflict in Ukraine spreads? What happens if it ends in the next few days?
• What happens if global trade and supply chain issues get worse, not better?
• What happens if there’s a severe reduction of available semiconductors for high-tech manufacturing?
• What happens if tech stocks pop quickly? (There’s evidence of this happening already… ARKK was up 10% on Wednesday, March 16.)
• Oil prices, gold, shortages of household staples… the list goes on and on.

My primary focus these last few weeks has been modeling various scenarios like those above and coming up with trade ideas that work for as broad a spectrum of outcomes as possible.

Well… I think I’ve landed on a solution. The more sideways this market and the geopolitical climate get, the better these seven ideas could fare.

Click here now to see all the details.

Jared Dillian
The 10th Man, Mauldin Economics