How we’re mapping out the year ahead.
How we’re mapping out the year ahead | The Guardian

Support the Guardian

Fund independent journalism

Saturday Edition - The Guardian
New Year’s fireworks over the Arc de Triomphe.
04/01/2025

How we’re mapping out the year ahead

Owen Gibson, deputy editor Owen Gibson, deputy editor
 

Trying to predict the future is tricky. For proof of that, you need only turn to this great feature by Tom Faber about the millennium bug, and why so many experts thought the year 2000 would lead to a global computing apocalypse swiftly followed by mass societal breakdown. Younger readers will be relieved to hear that’s not quite how it panned out …

But many predictions do end up being much more on the money. This week Caroline Davies told the story of the scientist Archibald Montgomery Low, whose 1925 predictions for the future were dismissed at the time but mostly came true, with “horrors” including being woken by a radio alarm clock, breakfasting “with loudspeaker news and television glimpses of events” and moving stairways.

We wouldn’t claim to be quite as prescient as Low, but this week our reporters and writers have been looking in depth at what’s likely to play out in 2025.

I was particularly struck by diplomatic editor Patrick Wintour’s authoritative look at how the rest of the world will adjust to the coming Donald Trump presidency: from the war in Ukraine to trade with China and Europe and the future of the Middle East. Patrick examined the positions of all the major players, from the pragmatic approach being taken by traditional US allies (“We have to dance with whoever is on the dancefloor,” as Nato head Mark Rutte put it) to China, which hopes to fill any leadership vacuum left by isolationist America.

Amid a global news cycle that can often seem overwhelming, we see it as part of our job to put those developments in context and analyse how wider trends are reshaping the world. A separate Trump prediction came from historian Timothy Snyder who, in an interview with Martin Pengelly, told how he foresees trouble for the incoming president and his dependent relationship with Elon Musk, something our reporters will be keeping a close eye on in 2025.

Economics correspondent Richard Partington, in a five-point rundown of the global financial picture, looked at how Trump’s coming trade wars will likely play out as well as intersect with other factors such as stubborn inflation. Larry Elliott also looked in depth at the state of the UK’s slow recovery after a dismal decade. Best summed up with a two-word warning: “brace yourself”.

Guardian columnist and public health expert Devi Sridhar turned her eye to the key health stories she expects to play out, from the promising (the near elimination of cervical cancer and a huge reduction in child malaria deaths), to the really quite worrying (a potential bird flu pandemic).

Thankfully, it’s not only the news agenda that we’re mapping out for the next 12 months. Our sports team has looked at the big storylines and key events – from the Ryder Cup to the women’s football Euros – that will shape the year, while our culture team has teed up what to keep an eye out for in the worlds of film (will it be the year of the auteur?), books, TV, stage, music, museums and games. And there is plenty there to look forward to. Happy new year to all of you.

My picks

A mounted police officer arrives on Canal Street, New Orleans.

In the early hours of New Year’s Day, Shamsud-Din Jabbar drove a truck into a crowd on the famous Bourbon Street in New Orleans, and opened fire on police, killing 15 people and injuring 35 others. This explainer from Ramon Antonio Vargas captured the key details of the attack. Oliver Laughland reported from an eerily quiet French Quarter, hearing from residents and tourists about the unimaginable scenes as families celebrated the new year.

Sunday’s Jeju Air crash in South Korea killed all but two of the 181 people on board. Luca Ittimani spoke to experts about the role the runway design and concrete barriers may have played in the disaster. Raphael Rashid described the scenes inside the airport in Seoul as the tragedy unfolded: “Is there absolutely no chance of survival?” one family member asked. Jasper Jolly unpicked what we know about the Boeing 737-800 that crashed.

We marked the death of Jimmy Carter at the age of 100. Chris McGreal reflected on Carter’s immense legacy. From resolving conflicts, exposing fraudulent elections, combating disease and poverty, to winning a Nobel peace prize, Carter’s influence stretched way beyond his single term as US president. David Smith contrasted the life and work and marriages of Carter and Donald Trump to illustrate just how dramatically American politics and values have shifted.

Syria continues to adjust to a post-Assad world. William Christou, reporting from Damascus, wrote a fascinating piece about the journalists who worked for state media under the regime, a role that risked severe punishment for making mistakes and a newsroom unable to write the truth for fear of retaliation.

A Guardian investigation found hundreds of English hospitals, schools and courts are in such a bad condition they are endangering the lives of those who visit and work in them. Kiran Stacey and Michael Goodier revealed 1.5 million children in England are studying in unfit buildings due to years of underinvestment. Also shocking was Josh Halliday’s report from a Cumbrian school where children have spent two years in temporary classrooms, and Rachel Keenan’s visit to St Helier hospital where a window fell off in a nurse’s hand. Meanwhile, the Observer’s Michael Savage revealed that NHS urgent repair costs have tripled over the last decade, putting patients and staff at “high risk”.

Also in England, our series on the crisis in special educational needs and disabilities (Send) education exposed a system at breaking point. Richard Adams found more than £100m was spent last year by local authorities on failed tribunals over providing support to children. Jessica Murray spoke to parents about the extraordinary lengths they have gone to to get help for their kids. John Harris, who has long been vigilant in his writing on this subject, warned the Labour government not to see Send spending as a source for easy savings.

Over the course of 2024, the Guardian reported on every example of a woman allegedly killed by a man in the UK. This week we concluded our Killed women count project, telling the stories and marking the lives of 80 women who died in 2024, with tributes and pictures.

Pjotr Sauer reported how Russian medics thought rumours that North Korean soldiers would be fighting in the war against Ukraine was fake news, until the foreign fighters were brought in to hospital for treatment. He described in fascinating detail the great lengths Moscow and Seoul have gone to, to disguise the presence of North Korean soldiers in Kursk.

In another eye-opening exclusive, Anna Isaac revealed how the UK’s biggest water company, Thames Water, diverted millions of pounds pledged for environmental clean-ups towards other costs including bonuses and dividends.

Damian Carrington revealed how the climate crisis exposed people to an additional six weeks of dangerous heat in 2024. Damian’s interview with academic Danilo Brozović on the likelihood of total societal collapse and whether it can be avoided was also fascinating.

In Australia 20 joeys sheltered in a Victoria resident’s living room to escape a lethal wildfire, as the baby kangaroos were too large to be evacuated and too young to successfully fend for themselves. Climate reporter Petra Stock told the story.

Among many sporting retrospectives of 2024, David Hills’s alternative sports awards for the Observer were a delight and Emma John’s review of the year in women’s sport showed how smartly social media is being harnessed by female athletes to build their brands.

Our excellent series The overwhelm featured dozens of inspirational stories from writers who found small ways to cope with modern life, including making shorter to-do lists and saving your anxiety for a set period of “constructive worry”. (If you missed the pieces, sign up here to receive them as a weekly newsletter series.) Meanwhile, this bumper feature, 101 ways to get healthier and happier in just five minutes was packed full of small, joyful tips to make things just a bit easier throughout 2025.

One more thing …Some of the biggest draws of the festive period such as the finale of Gavin and Stacey in the UK and Beyoncé’s live NFL half-time show in the US were reminders that in an atomised world of filter bubbles, we still crave collective experiences. It was a point well made by Frances Ryan in this column and also brought to mind Alexis Petridis’s excellent round up of 2024’s defining musical trends, which were big on shared moments. With all that in mind, it was comforting to settle down for the return in the UK of The Traitors, Claudia Winkleman’s wardrobe of chunky knits and all. As our five-star review made clear, it is a show that is best enjoyed in real time so it can be suitably dissected later with friends or family. Let the amateur psychoanalysis and misguided misdirection (a fake Welsh accent? Really?) commence …

Your Saturday starts here

Georgina Hayden’s Bombay chilli cheese ciabatta.

Cook this | Georgina Hayden’s Bombay chilli cheese ciabatta

These chilli cheese on toasts are inspired by an Indian classic, the Bombay or Mumbai chilli cheese toastie. Feel free to use any not-too-strong melting cheese you have in the fridge.

A dip in the Lake District.

Listen to this | How to have a perfectly imperfect 2025

Instead of making grand new year resolutions, the smallest steps could lead to a more joyful life, says Oliver Burkeman. He told Helen Pidd how he managed to stop procrastinating with a surprising method.

Former U.S. President Jimmy Carter attends an interview with Reuters in Cairo 12 January 2012.

Watch this | Jimmy Carter – video obituary

Jimmy Carter, who died on 29 December, was the 39th president of the United States, broker of peace in the Middle East and a tireless advocate for global health and human rights. Our video team looked back at a giant of American public life, and the US’s longest-lived president.

And finally …

The Guardian’s crosswords and Wordiply are here to keep you entertained throughout the weekend.

 
Groundbreaking investigations don't happen without you

Your support powers us.

As an independent news platform taking on the establishment and reporting on environmental issues, international politics, and everything in between, we can't do it alone.

Support us today and fuel journalism that makes a real impact.

 
Get in touch
If you have any questions or comments about any of our newsletters please email customer.help@theguardian.com
https://www.theguardian.com/uk
You are receiving this email because you are a subscriber to Saturday Edition. Guardian News & Media Limited - a member of Guardian Media Group PLC. Registered Office: Kings Place, 90 York Way, London, N1 9GU. Registered in England No. 908396