HOW TO THINK ABOUT IT

Bad management? Fifty-seven percent of California’s forests are federally managed, around 40 percent are in private hands and 3 percent are overseen by state and local agencies. Some experts have dismissed suggestions that any of these entities are to blame, noting that the initial fires started in open areas and were fueled by environmental conditions such as high winds and a lingering drought. But others say the surrounding environment — such as the thickness of forest, an issue that could be mitigated — should be taken into closer account when considering long-term fire prevention. Either way, one thing remains clear: In California, forest fires are only getting worse.

A costly affair. Insurance analyses have estimated losses for the year at between $4 and $7 billion, which is far less than last year’s $13 billion. But California lawmakers, as well as strict state regulations, are likely to keep companies from hiking insurance rates to offset those costs. Meanwhile, the U.S. Forest Service estimates it’s spending 12 times what it did in 1985 to battle fires across the country. More troubling, though, is the human cost. In California, fatalities have been steadily rising every wildfire season: 2 in 2014, 9 in 2015, 8 in 2016, 47 in 2017 and 94 confirmed so far this year.

The bigger picture. The Camp Fire has surpassed what was previously the deadliest fire in California history: Los Angeles’ 1933 Griffiths Park Fire, which claimed 29 lives. But it’s far from the deadliest in U.S. history. In 1918, 450 people died in a Minnesota blaze, and in 1871 Wisconsin’s Peshtigo fire killed at least 1,500 — and perhaps as many as 2,500 people — while burning an area larger than the state of Rhode Island.

But the U.S. isn’t alone. Europe is another hotbed for forest fires, particularly around the Mediterranean. Greece experienced deadly blazes earlier this year, which killed 91 people. President Trump recently cited Finland’s successful efforts at firefighting, suggesting their track record is down to raking forest floors. Instead, observers say, it’s due to an effective early detection system and a vast network of forest roads that provide firefighters easy access while preventing fires from spreading. Still, forestry experts caution that Finland’s climate differs vastly from that of California’s.

WHAT TO READ

California's Forest Management Isn't the Problem by Jennifer Lu in Popular Science
“There are two other key reasons why California is the perfect tinderbox. One is that the state has a growing number of people living in or near fire-prone areas. The second is that California has a naturally dry climate, made worse by climate change…”

California’s Paradise Lost by the Editorial Board in The Wall Street Journal
“Relentless winds and low air moisture make California’s fires harder to contain while development is putting more people in danger. But also fueling the fires is an overgrown government bureaucracy that frustrates proper forest management.”

WHAT TO WATCH