Yup, inflation's still a thing | Big deals mean big fees |
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Hi John, here's what you need to know for October 4th in 3:07 minutes.

💰 How do you stake crypto? Why should you stake crypto? And… wait… what exactly is crypto staking? All very good questions, all questions UNIT’s cofounder Thy-Diep Ta will answer at The Hows, Whats, And Whys Of Staking Your Crypto on Monday. Get your free ticket

Today's big stories

  1. European inflation hit a 13-year high last month
  2. The results of our survey are in, and your dwindling optimism suggests the stock market rally might actually have further to go – Read Now
  3. Investment banks have posted record fees this year, thanks in large part to a record-breakling year for dealmaking

Something Something Inflation

Something Something Inflation

What’s Going On Here?

Data out on Friday showed inflation in Europe surged to a 13-year-high last month, and we can probably just go ahead and copy/paste at this stage, right?

What Does This Mean?

Europe’s story is much the same as everyone else’s: the same supply chain disruptions have been forcing the region’s companies to pass higher costs onto customers, and the same energy shortages sent gas prices to record highs on Friday. That drove consumer prices up 3.4% in September versus the year before. And even if you strip out unstable costs like food and energy, prices still rose by 1.9% – the biggest jump in the metric since 2008. This isn’t going away either: energy prices alone are set to climb even higher after China said last week that it was willing to go to whatever lengths necessary to secure supplies for winter.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: Do you even, like, need a salary?
Germany is in particularly deep schnitzel: inflation in Europe’s biggest economy hit its highest level for nearly three decades, with prices up 4.1% on the year before (tweet this). So, uh, you’d think German workers might’ve given a little more thought to macroeconomic trends before going on strike to demand fair pay. Economists are worried that if wage increases spread across the region, it’ll push up prices even more and magnify the problem.

The bigger picture: A shortage here, a shortage there.
Another day, another shortage – this time silicon, which has fallen victim to yet another production cut in China as it tries to curb power consumption. That’s caused the price of the second-most abundant material in the world to skyrocket 300% in the last two months. And given that silicon is used in everything from microchips to concrete, that could prove costly for companies and consumers alike.

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Analyst Take

Your Glass-Half-Empty Outlook Might Be Just What Stocks Need

Your Glass-Half-Empty Outlook Might Be Just What Stocks Need
Photo of Andrew

Andrew, Analyst

What’s Going On Here?

You might remember that we asked you to chime in with your views for our Casual Investor Survey last week.

Well, the results are in.

The overarching sense is that you’re suddenly a lot less confident in economic growth, company earnings growth, and stock market performance – though that in itself might be a good omen.

Meanwhile, you’re all suddenly much more wary of China than you are of the pandemic, which perhaps isn’t surprising given all the doom-and-gloom headlines recently.

It’s all in today’s Insight: how you guys are feeling about the global economy, stocks, bitcoin, NFTs, and more, and how you can use that to inform your investment decisions this quarter.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Okay, Cupid

Okay, Cupid

What’s Going On Here?

Investment banks have been raking in record fees this year, as they do whatever they can to find each and every company its perfect match.

What Does This Mean?

Investment banks make their money in all sorts of ways, but one of the biggest is by advising on mergers and acquisitions (M&A). And what a year for dealmaking it’s been, with a record-breaking $4.3 trillion worth of deals struck in the first nine months of the year – twice what it was this time last year. That’s not especially surprising: rock-bottom interest rates have made borrowing cheap and sky-high stock prices have made raising funds easy, all while firms scramble to find new ways to one-up the competition. It’s certainly paid off for investment banks: they’ve made 46% more in M&A fees than they did last year.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Private equity isn’t so private after all.
Investment banks make big money from initial public offerings too, which might be why they’re currently sniffing around the private equity (PE) industry. PE firms – which buy businesses and spruce them up before selling them for profit – have been responsible for 30% of deals this year, and retail investors are keen to get a slice of the potential profits. Investment banks, then, have been trying to persuade those PE firms to debut on the stock market – with their help, of course.

The bigger picture: Five9 hangs up on Zoom.
Zoom’s been striking deals of its own: it’s been trying to expand its product offering now that no one’s relying on digital coffees any more. The pandemic favorite announced in July that it’d be buying cloud-based software provider Five9, and that it’d pay for it using shares rather than cash. But investors have sent its stock down 28% since the deal was first struck, and Five9 – whose payday suddenly looked a whole lot less lucrative – called the whole thing off late last week.

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💬 Quote of the day

“There are people who have money and people who are rich.”

– Coco Chanel (a French fashion designer and businesswoman)
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🌎 Finimize Live

🙄 HODL schmodl

Gone are the days of just HODLing tight: crypto staking is a more and more mainstream way to make your crypto work for you. And it’s simple enough too – or at least, it is when you join blockchain guru Thy-Diep Ta for The Hows, Whats And Whys Of Staking Your Crypto.

🤷‍♀️ The Hows, Whats And Whys Of Staking Your Crypto: 1pm UK time, October 4th
🇨🇳 The Risks And Rewards Of Chinese Stocks: 6pm UK time, October 4th
How To Master A Market-Beating Mindset: 1pm UK time, October 5th
💉 How To Get Your Dose Of Healthcare 2.0: 5pm UK time, October 6th
🏡 How To Profit From The World Working At Home: 6pm UK time, October 7th
💪 The Power of Alternative Investing: 1pm UK time, October 12th
👵 Age Wealthily, Not Gracefully: 5pm UK time, October 13th
🤔 The Pros And Cons Of Alternative Investments: 5pm UK time, October 18th
👍 How To Trade In Good And Bad Times: 5pm UK time, October 19th
👀 How To Spot The Next Round Of Market Winners: 6pm UK time, October 20th
How To Invest In The Transition To A Greener Future: 11am UK time, October 21st
🤓 A Smarter Way To Profit In The Short Term: 5pm UK time, October 21st
🇰🇷 Are Korean Stocks The Next Big Thing?: 1pm UK time, October 22nd

🎯 On Our Radar

  1. The great sperm heist. In which men became fathers without ever donating.
  2. A new nervous system. This implant could give spinal injury patients bodily control.
  3. “I can’t believe you’ve done this.” YouTube deleted and reinstated internet history.
  4. Cage-free, for real. The horrors of factory farming could soon be phased out in Europe.
  5. Stop confusing habits for routines. And save yourself some disappointment.

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