And two come along at once | Chipmakers bring good tidings |
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Hi John, here's what you need to know for July 16th in 3:11 minutes.

☕️ Finimized over a cortado at Brooklyn Roasting Company in Brooklyn, New York (25°C/77°F ⛅)

Today's big stories

  1. US biotech company Moderna’s stock jumped thanks to its progress toward a coronavirus vaccine
  2. Goldman Sachs has made once-in-a-decade predictions about the state of US stocks in 2030 – Read Now
  3. European chipmaker ASML reported better-than-expected earnings
1/3

Just Say Yes

Just Say Yes

What’s Going On Here?

Apparently Moderna never listened to Nancy as a kid: the American biotech’s shares got totally high on Wednesday after its encouraging coronavirus vaccine trial results were published late on Tuesday.

What Does This Mean?

Let’s start with a disclaimer: it’s still early days for Moderna’s potential vaccine. But even so, it’s said to have produced a “robust” immune response in all 45 human patients that took part in its early-stage trial (tweet this). More specifically, the vaccine produced antibodies that could potentially neutralize COVID-19 and give participants at least some protection from the virus. Another disclaimer: there are still several unknowns, including how long that protection might last.

Moderna previously announced plans to enrol 30,000 new participants to take part in late-stage vaccine trials later this month. And now – given the early excitement around its initial trials – investors, governments, and exhausted parents worldwide will be watching the results even more closely.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Spoiled for choice.
Moderna’s stock initially rose almost 20% on Wednesday, suggesting investors were hopeful this vaccine will be “the one”. That’s despite all the unknowns of drug development and the stiff competition in the market: hundreds of potential vaccines are in development, after all. News even broke on Wednesday that the University of Oxford’s rival vaccine – set to be produced by AstraZeneca – might be even more effective than Moderna’s. Investors who aren’t brave enough to back a single winner might be inclined to put all the vaccine-developing companies into a single basket and buy that instead.

The bigger picture: A collective sigh of relief.
Even economists’ and companies’ most positive forecasts are heavily caveated with the looming risk of a coronavirus resurgence. But a vaccine could negate that risk and set the global stage for a much-hoped-for – yet increasingly unlikely – V-shaped recovery of both economies and company earnings alike. And that might be why stocks the world over got a nice boost from Moderna’s update.

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2/3 Premium

Time Jump

What’s Going On Here?

Investment bank Goldman Sachs has looked ahead to 2030 and made some landmark predictions about how US stocks will be doing by then.

Get the full story with Finimize Premium

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3/3

Chip Chip Chooray

Chip Chip Chooray

What’s Going On Here?

Global microchip maker ASML announced better-than-expected quarterly results on Wednesday, which could herald better times ahead for the global economy.

What Does This Mean?

The Netherlands’ ASML is a major supplier to TSMC and, notably, Samsung, which just revealed a better-than-expected second quarter. And that means keen-eyed investors might’ve known there’d be good news to come from ASML itself.

They were spot on: the company said that despite some issues in the first half of the year – understandably given, well, everything – things quickly went back to normal. In fact, the increase in remote-working – and the boost it gave technology and internet companies – actually helped ASML since it led to a surge in demand for its microchips. That could be why the company still reckons it’ll be able to grow both its revenue and profit this year.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Typical.
The semiconductor industry has a couple of hallmarks. For one, it’s pretty homogeneous, in that good or bad news for one company generally affects them all to some degree. Optimistic investors, then, might see ASML’s relative strength as a sign that the sector as a whole is holding up okay. For another, the industry is considered “early cyclical”, meaning it tends to experience surprisingly high growth during the recovery from a downturn. And since demand for semiconductors – which are used in practically every sector – is still going strong, it could suggest cyclical customers aren’t doing as badly as expected either.

Zooming out: Very discreet. 
Consumer discretionary stocks are also early cyclicals, but you wouldn’t have known it to look at British luxury brand Burberry on Wednesday. The company reported sales that were down 20% in June, and down 45% last quarter as a whole from a year ago. That tallies with the UK economy’s 1.8% growth in May compared to April – a much slower recovery than economists, forecasting a 5.5% increase, had hoped for.

Copy to share story: https://www.finimize.com/wp/news/chip-chip-chooray/

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💬 Quote of the day

“It’s kind of fun to do the impossible.”

– Walt Disney (an American entrepreneur, animator, writer, and film producer)
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🤔 Q&A · RE: Snackhanded Compliments

“Why might there be bigger difference between the highest and lowest company earnings estimates right now?”

– Michelle

“Each quarter, companies tend to give analysts and investors guidance about how the positives and negatives in the coming period will affect earnings – and some go as far as to make explicit forecasts. And when analysts crunch the numbers, their calculations pretty much reflect what the companies themselves have said – with some of them more optimistic and others more pessimistic. But ever since the coronavirus pandemic introduced record levels of uncertainty, around 200 of the biggest American companies opted not to make predictions at all. Number-crunching analysts, then, don’t have anything to anchor their forecasts too, which can cause a wider range of predictions.”

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💪 How to build an anti-racist startup

It’s not enough to just talk about change: if you run a startup, it’s your responsibility to lead the charge. This afternoon, Finimizer Gab will be joined by Yaw Owusu-Boahen – founder of #BLM ally education newsletter Toybox – to tell you how to start doing just that.

🇺🇸 USA: How To Build An Anti-Racist Startup – 1pm New York Time, July 16th
🇺🇸 USA: What’s Next For Streaming? – 12pm New York Time, July 20th
🇬🇧 UK: Global Economic Outlook – 5pm UK Time, July 21st
🇦🇺 Australia: Women & Money (in-person) – 5.30pm Perth Time, July 22nd
🇬🇧 UK: How the Pros Pick Stocks – 6pm UK Time, July 27th
🌎 Global: Finimize Live AMA – 1.30pm UK Time, July 28th
🇨🇦 Canada: Searching For Financial Stability – 1.30pm Pacific Time, July 28th
🇬🇧 UK: What’s Next For The Global Economy? – 6pm UK Time, July 29th
🇬🇧 UK: The Bright Future for Renewable Energy – 12pm UK Time, July 30th

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