| 200 percent will do | ECB vs the Fed |

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Hi John, here's what you need to know for June 4th in 3:14 minutes.

☕️ Finimized over a “la vie en rose” coffee at Bitter & Zart in Frankfurt, Germany (19°C/67°F 🌤)

Today's big stories

  1. Zoom Video Communications reported quarterly results that smashed investors’ expectations
  2. Our analysts look at why rock-bottom company earnings might be a good sign for stock markets – Read in the Finimize App
  3. The European Central Bank seems to be backed into a policy corner, while the US Federal Reserve has more flexibility than it could’ve hoped for
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40 Minutes Of Fame

40 Minutes Of Fame

What’s Going On Here?

Zoom Video Communications has certainly made the most of its moment in the spotlight: the teleconferencing provider reported a way better-than-expected quarterly update this week.

What Does This Mean?

Zoom’s last quarter – which ended in April – saw its revenue grow by 169% versus the same time last year. That was down to all the new users who flocked to the platform under global stay-at-home orders, with everything from homeschooling to house parties suddenly a virtual affair.

Zoom almost doubled its revenue forecast for this year too, which suggests the company’s expecting to both add more paying users and boost the amounts existing subscribers will pay. Fixing users’ many privacy concerns should certainly help with that…

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Not so fast.
Zoom’s expectation-smashing announcement “only” pushed its stock up 5% on Wednesday – small potatoes after the more-than 200% rise it’s seen this year. The tepid investor response could be because some of them “bought the rumor, sold the news”. In other words, they bought up Zoom’s stock’s in anticipation that it’d benefit from the coronavirus lockdown, and sold after its strong earnings update to secure their profit. On the other hand, it could also be because cautious investors are worried that the company’s temporarily inflated costs – including additional server capacity from Amazon Web Services to cope with all those new users – hints at further pressures ahead.

The bigger picture: Zooming from home.
According to a LinkedIn survey last month, more than 80% of people in desk-based industries – like finance and tech – reckon they can do their jobs just as effectively from their sofas. Nearly a quarter of top executives participating in a separate PwC poll, meanwhile, said they’re looking at trimming office space. So with the potential for a lot more teleconferencing in the future, it’s perhaps no surprise there’s big competition afoot: Facebook recently announced new video-calling features, while telecoms giant Verizon bought Zoom-rival BlueJeans.

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2/3 Premium

Pressured Profits Might Fuel The Market Rally

What’s Going On Here?

Analysts have been trimming company profit estimates all year, but data released this week suggests the cuts are coming to an end – which could fuel the stock market rally.

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3/3

Nothing To See Here

Nothing To See Here

What’s Going On Here?

The European Central Bank (ECB) can’t exactly lay eyes on its new enemy, but the support it’s expected to announce on Thursday should help the eurozone keep swinging anyway.

What Does This Mean?

The ECB started its $840 billion bond-buying program back in March, with the aim of cushioning the economic blow of the coronavirus pandemic on eurozone countries. And since it’s only spent a third of that earmarked money so far, it might seem unnecessary to increase that pot by, say, $560 billion. But according to Bloomberg, that’s exactly what most investors are expecting the ECB to do – and if it doesn’t, there could be a sharp sell-off of the region’s assets.

Those investors probably just like the idea of a safety net. Just look at the US, which previously promised unlimited bond-buying: the Federal Reserve (the Fed) hasn’t bought a single bond as part of the program, but just the talk of it seems to have been enough to keep investors from panic-selling and inspire companies to issue their own new bonds.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Thanks but no thanks.
The Fed – which is still hashing out the finer details of its bottomless bond-buying – hasn’t actually launched the initiative yet, but some analysts aren’t sure markets actually need its extra support anymore. In any case, companies might be reluctant to take its help for fear of looking needy while rebounding markets as a whole look strong. Equally, they may snap up the offer just in case they need some cash for a rainy – or, er, COVIDy – day.

Zooming out: Can’t we all just get along?
The Bank of England this week warned the country’s commercial banks to prepare for the UK to leave the European Union (EU) without a long-hoped-for trade deal (tweet this). This week’s negotiations between the two haven’t shown much progress, which makes it all the more likely British banks will lose their easy access to Europe’s financial markets.

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💬 Quote of the day

“The simple act of caring is heroic.”

– Edward Albert (an American film and television actor)
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🤔 Q&A · RE: Culture Shock

“Why does borrowing get more expensive for everyone else when bond prices go down?”

– Eric in Massachusetts, USA

“When bond prices fall, their yields rise (remember, the two move inversely). And it’s those yields – particularly of government bonds – that act as a benchmark for new bonds’ interest rates. That’s because investors look at the yields of existing bonds to get a sense of how much interest to demand from any new bonds being sold. So when current yields are higher, investors are likely to want new bonds to pay higher interest rates – which is, of course, more expensive for the borrower.”

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👩‍⚕️ Say “ahh”, say “ooh”
There are over 100 potential vaccines for COVID in development, but only ten have made it to human clinical trials. One of them? Novavax (NVAX), whose share price jumped 154% in May.

⛺️ Become a happy camper
With international travel off the cards, Camping World Holdings (CWH) is bringing the house – er, tent – down with its assortment of RVs and RV parts. That stock’s up 147% in May.

🥕 Be on the cutting veg
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🌎 Finimize Community

🙄 Get out of the way, big data

What is big data anyway? Good question. It’s like normal data, but it gets in your way when you’re trying to watch a band you really wanted to see. Probably. You’d better pop into our virtual Hong Kong event to make sure, though.

🇨🇦 Canada: The State of Crude Oil & the Canadian Economy – 6.30pm EST, June 9th
🇨🇦 Canada: Sizing Up Your Investing Biases – 6pm EST, June 10th
🇭🇰 Hong Kong: The Big Data Revolution – 9pm Hong Kong Time, June 11th
🇫🇷 France: The Future of Blockchain & Cryptocurrency – 6.30pm CET, June 17th

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