Euro Strengthens on Optimistic PMI Data; Dollar and Yen Under Pressure
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-24-25 |
Euro Strengthens on Optimistic PMI Data; Dollar and Yen Under Pressure |
Euro posted notable gains today as lifted by encouraging Eurozone PMI data that suggests the region is beginning the year on firmer footing. Private sector activity showed cautious growth, with reduced drag from manufacturing and moderate expansion in services. Most surprisingly, Germany, which struggled throughout 2024, returned to expansion. Sterling also gained on better PMI readings even though stagnation risks persist, particularly due to accelerated job cuts in the UK. Dollar extended its decline as risk-on sentiment dominated markets, despite US equity indices taking a breather after strong rallies earlier this week. The greenback is currently the weakest performer for the day, followed by Yen, which gave back its brief gains following BoJ’s widely anticipated rate hike. The Swiss Franc also underperformed, completing a trio of safe-haven currencies that lagged behind in today’s risk-driven market environment.... |
EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0379; (P) 1.0409; (R1) 1.0445; More... Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside as rebound from 1.1076 is in progress. Strong resistance might be seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.1213 to 1.0176 at 1.0572 to limit upside. Break of 1.0371 minor support will bring retest of 1.0176 low. However, sustained break of 1.0572 will raise the chance of bullish reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0817. | |
GMT | Ccy | Events | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised |
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22:00 | AUD | Manufacturing PMI Jan P | 49.8 | 47.8 | 22:00 | AUD | Services PMI Jan P | 50.4 | 50.8 | 23:30 | JPY | National CPI Y/Y Dec | 3.60% | 2.90% | 23:30 | JPY | National CPI Core Y/Y Dec | 3.00% | 3.00% | 2.70% | 23:30 | JPY | National CPI Core-Core Y/Y Dec | 2.40% | 2.70% | 2.40% | 00:01 | GBP | GfK Consumer Confidence Jan | -22 | -18 | -17 | 00:30 | JPY | Manufacturing PMI Jan P | 48.8 | 49.7 | 49.6 | 00:30 | JPY | Services PMI Jan P | 52.7 | 50.9 | 03:23 | JPY | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 0.50% | 0.50% | 0.25% | 08:15 | EUR | France Manufacturing PMI Jan P | 45.3 | 42.1 | 41.9 | 08:15 | EUR | France Services PMI Jan P | 48.9 | 49.4 | 49.3 | 08:30 | EUR | Germany Manufacturing PMI Jan P | 44.1 | 42.9 | 42.5 | 08:30 | EUR | Germany Services PMI Jan P | 52.5 | 51.1 | 51.2 | 09:00 | EUR | Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Jan P | 46.1 | 45.3 | 45.1 | 09:00 | EUR | Eurozone Services PMI Jan P | 51.4 | 51.4 | 51.6 | 09:30 | GBP | Manufacturing PMI Jan P | 48.2 | 46.9 | 47 | 09:30 | GBP | Services PMI Jan P | 51.2 | 50.6 | 51.1 | 13:30 | CAD | New Housing Price Index M/M Dec | -0.10% | 0.20% | 0.10% | 14:45 | USD | Manufacturing PMI Jan P | 50.1 | 49.4 | 14:45 | USD | Services PMI Jan P | 52.8 | 56.8 | 15:00 | USD | Existing Home Sales M/M Dec | 4.24M | 4.16M | 4.15M | 15:00 | USD | Michigan Consumer Sentiment Jan F | 71.1 | 73.2 | 73.2 |
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