Dollar Steadies After Early Weakness, Focus Turns to Australia Jobs Data
| Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-14-25 |
Dollar Steadies After Early Weakness, Focus Turns to Australia Jobs Data |
US Dollar faced broad selling pressure throughout the Asian and European sessions but has since found some footing as markets transition into the US trading day. However, direction remains murky, with traders appearing undecided on whether to push the greenback higher or extend the recent pullback. A similar tone of uncertainty is mirrored in equities, as European indexes drift sideways and US futures show little conviction. With no major catalysts in the immediate pipeline, both FX and equity markets are likely to stay range-bound until fresh data offers clearer cues. Attention now turns to Thursday’s key releases, including Australia’s April employment report and the UK’s GDP figures. While Australia’s stronger-than-expected Q1 wage price index suggested some resilience in pay growth, the detail showed continued moderation in the private sector. This is unlikely to derail RBA's expected rate cut next week, as the central bank remains focused on cushioning the economy from tariff-related risks. The upcoming April employment data will be more telling—especially if it deviates significantly from the expected 20.9k job growth and 4.1% unemployment rate. A downside surprise could fuel speculation of faster easing later this year.... |
USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8367; (P) 0.8415; (R1) 0.8442; More…. Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, firm break of 0.8333 resistance turned support will argue that corrective rebound from 0.8038 has completed at 0.8475, after rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9200 to 0.8038 at 0.8482. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 0.8184, and then retest of 0.8038 low. However, sustained trading above 0.8482 will dampen this bearish view and target 61.8% retracement at 0.8756 next. | |
| GMT | Ccy | Events | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised |
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| 23:50 | JPY | PPI Y/Y Apr | 4.00% | 4.00% | 4.20% | 4.30% | | 01:30 | AUD | Wage Price Index Q/Q Q1 | 0.90% | 0.80% | 0.70% | | 06:00 | EUR | Germany CPI M/M Apr F | 0.40% | 0.40% | 0.40% | | 06:00 | EUR | Germany CPI Y/Y Apr F | 2.10% | 2.10% | 2.10% | | 12:30 | CAD | Building Permits M/M Mar | -4.10% | 1.00% | 2.90% | 4.90% | | 14:30 | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | -2.0M | -2.0M |
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