Today's Commentary Mother Nature and U.S. Employment Warmer weather has likely added 40,000 jobs per month on average since November. Asia Spotlight: India to Cut Rates Cautiously RBI will likely cut rates by 25 basis points in April as domestic growth momentum remains uneven. Canada Weekly: A Tale of Two Industries Cheap oil prices have resulted in a reversal of fortune among goods producers. LatAm Weekly: Betting on Change Excitement over Brazil's impeachment proceedings is overshadowing economic weakness. View More Analysis Insight on Critical Issues LatAm External Gap Quickly Narrowing Flexible foreign exchange systems have allowed rebalancing. Macro Roundup: Japanâs Dismal Tankan Increases Stimulus Odds The lowest business sentiment in three years is set to push fiscal and monetary policy levers. Asia-Pacific Economic Preview: 4-10 April Australian consumer activity is set to improve, while pessimism mounts in Japan. Europe Economic Preview: 4-8 April Euro zone economies appear to have turned a corner, though risks continue. View More Analysis Today's Releases Brazil | Industrial Production | February | -13.2% | The national industry is experiencing significant contractions as the economy is under policy adjustments ... | | Brazil | Foreign Trade | March | US$4.43 bil | Brazil registered a significant trade surplus in March as the countryâs weak economy continues to weigh ... | | Germany | Lending by Banks | February | 1.6% | German bank lending to private enterprises rose year on year in February for the third consecutive month. ... | | Italy | Employment Situation | February | 11.7% | Italyâs unemployment rate rose to 11.7% in February from 11.6% in January because of the slowing economy. ... | | North America | ECRI Future Inflation Gauge | March | 107.8 (U.S.) | The ECRI Future Inflation Gauge increased again in March, in line with other measures of core prices. ... | | Peru | Consumer Price Index | March | 4.3% | Consumer price inflation in the Lima metropolitan area continued to ease in March. Inflation rose 0.6% ... | | Russian Federation | Reserve Fund | April | RUB3.42 tril | Russia's reserve fund stood at RUB3.42 trillion as of the beginning of April, lower than in the previous ... | | Spain | Business Confidence | March | -2 | Spainâs business confidence index remained unchanged at -2 in March, in line with our expectations. While ... | | United Kingdom | Moody's Analytics Debt Service Ratio | 2015Q4 | 12.8% | The Moodyâs Analytics debt service ratio for the U.K. held steady, in line with Moodyâs Analytics forecasts, ... | | United Kingdom | Nationwide Housing Price Index | March | 5.7% | The U.K. Nationwide Housing Price Index increased 0.8% m/m in March, up from 0.4% in the previous month. ... | | United States | ECRI Weekly Leading Index | 03/25/2016 | 133.0 | The ECRI Weekly Leading Index built off of a nine-month high in the week ended March 25, continuing its ... | | United States | Employment Situation | March | 215,000 | The labor market continues to improve at a steady pace. Payrolls increased by 215,000 in March, slightly ... | | United States | ISM Manufacturing Index | March | 51.8 | Manufacturing is showing signs of emerging from its recent funk. The ISM manufacturing index increased ... | | United States | Vehicle Sales - AutoData | March | 16.6 mil, SAAR | Vehicle sales were disappointing in March. The pace fell to 16.6 million on a seasonally adjusted annualized ... | | United States | Construction Spending (C30) | February | -0.5% | Construction spending in February came in below the consensus expectation. The value put in place decreased ... | | United States | University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey | March | 91.0 | Consumer sentiment dipped slightly in March, according to the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment ... | | United States | Moody's CMBS Delinquency Tracker | February | 4.75% | The Moodyâs CMBS Delinquency Tracker fell from 4.76% (before revisions) in January to 4.75% in February ... | | View More Releases Survey of Business Confidence Latest: 30.7 The wild swings in global financial markets have buffeted business confidence. Sentiment fell with the markets through early this year but, like the markets, has firmed in recent weeks. Recent responses to all of the survey questions have taken on a brighter hue. And despite the decline in confidence in recent months, in a broader historical context, business sentiment is good and consistent with an economy that is expanding at the high end of its potential. View Full Analysis Reader's Choice U.S. Consumer Outlook: Supports for Spending Shift Real spending growth will reaccelerate, but supports will be different from last year. The Oil Rebalancing Act U.S. oil production holds the key for oil prices. U.S. Chartbook: Profit Pain The fourth quarter wasn't kind to corporate profits but the economic costs should be small, for now. A More Promising Road to GSE Reform Reforming Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is critical. U.S. Credit Outlook: A Cautionary Tale Both lenders and consumers have been wary to extend and demand credit.
About Moody's Analytics Moody's Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody's Corporation, helps capital markets and credit risk management professionals worldwide respond to an evolving marketplace with confidence. Through its team of economists, Moody’s Analytics is a leading independent provider of research, credit risk management, modeling, data, and forecasts at the global, national and subnational levels. Moody's Analytics Economic & Consumer Credit Analytics customized models, concise and timely research, and one of the largest assembled financial, economic and demographic databases support firms and policymakers in strategic planning, product and sales forecasting, credit risk and sensitivity management, and investment research. Learn more:
» | Forecast and Historical Data Access more than 260 million economic, demographic and financial time series for more than 180 countries, updated daily, at the global, macro and regional levels. | » | Alternative Scenarios Consult more than 40 forecast databases covering global, macro and regional economics as well as specific concepts such as industry and consumer credit. | » | Economic Research Utilize comprehensive, concise and timely analysis on the current and expected economic conditions of global, macro and regional economies to manage exposure to potential risks. | » | Consumer Credit Analytics Forecast and stress-test consumer credit portfolios from default risk to revenue growth. | » | Advisory Services Optimize your decision-making process by leveraging our extensive expertise (research, models, data, consulting) as well as your own internal information systems. |
|
|