Today's Commentary Puzzling Increase in U.S. Apparel Prices Gains won't stick and have not been behind the upward turn in inflation. Easter Sales Aid U.S. Retailers Demand for spring apparel, food and outdoor equipment helped sales. Economic Briefing: U.S. Fedâs Dovish Tone Bolsters Asian Stocks Asian industrial production remains subdued as global demand softens. View More Analysis Insight on Critical Issues Revisiting Residual Seasonality in U.S. GDP The issue hasn't gone away; this quarter is likely being affected. Noose Tightens Around Europe's Energy Firms Closure of conventional power stations and overreliance on renewables threaten energy security. U.S. Chartbook: Profit Pain The fourth quarter wasn't kind to corporate profits but the economic costs should be small, for now. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 25, 2016 The job market could force the Fed's hand. View More Analysis Today's Releases Argentina | GDP | 2015Q4 | 0.9% | The Argentine government released preliminary GDP figures for the third and fourth quarters of 2015. ... | | Chile | Manufacturing Production | February | 1.3% | Chileâs manufactures continued to underperform in February, as production capacity remains limited. Hence, ... | | Chile | Retail Sales | February | 7.4% | Chilean retail sales were strong in February considering the countryâs faltering economy. The index rose ... | | Euro Zone | Business and Consumer Sentiment | March | 103.0 | The euro zone's economic sentiment indicator slid to 103 in March from 103.9. Moody's Analytics had forecast ... | | Mexico | Employment Situation | February | 4.1% Unemployment | Mexicoâs unemployment remained high in February as the seasonal effect at the beginning of the year continued. ... | | United States | Oil Inventories | 03/25/2016 | 534.8 mil barrels | A fall in the pace of crude oil imports drove a slowdown in the pace of crude oil inventory accumulation. ... | | United States | MBA Mortgage Applications Survey | 03/25/2016 | -1.0% | Mortgage applications decreased for the third consecutive week. The composite index was down by 1%. The ... | | United States | Risk of Recession | February | 21% | The U.S. economy isnât at serious risk of falling into a recession soon, a testament to the strength ... | | United States | ADP National Employment Report | March | 200,000 | Private sector job growth is holding remarkably steady at a strong pace. The labor market added 200,000 ... | | United States | Agricultural Prices | February | 3.9% | Agricultural prices rebounded in February, offsetting the losses over the previous two months. Prices ... | | View More Releases Survey of Business Confidence Latest: 30.7 The wild swings in global financial markets have buffeted business confidence. Sentiment fell with the markets through early this year but, like the markets, has firmed in recent weeks. Recent responses to all of the survey questions have taken on a brighter hue. And despite the decline in confidence in recent months, in a broader historical context, business sentiment is good and consistent with an economy that is expanding at the high end of its potential. View Full Analysis Reader's Choice U.S. Consumer Outlook: Supports for Spending Shift Real spending growth will reaccelerate, but supports will be different from last year. A More Promising Road to GSE Reform Reforming Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is critical. U.S. Employment Outlook: High-Skilled Workers Face Hurdle Weakening R&D intensity stifles job creation among skilled workers in productive industries. U.S. Chartbook: Profit Pain The fourth quarter wasn't kind to corporate profits but the economic costs should be small, for now. U.S. Chartbook: How Data-Dependent Is the Fed? The turn in core inflation should stick, but the Fed does not seem so sure.
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