Today's Economy 'Tis the Season for U.S. Tax Refunds Delayed checks in January and early February are unlikely to hurt consumer spending. January U.S. Retail Sales Were Mostly a Dud We are lowering our estimates of both Q4 and Q1 GDP growth. Europe Economic Briefing: Germany Fires Ahead Growth in 2017 was the strongest since 2011. Asia-Pacific Economic Briefing: A Lot to Love About Japan's 2017 Japan's GDP expanded for an eighth straight quarter in Q4, its longest growth streak since 2001. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary CPI: The Only Thing We Have to Fear Is Fear Itself U.S. inflation is perking up, but that is a good sign. South America Under the Fed's Stress Scenarios Recessions in the region would be deeper than in the U.S. Assessing Trump's U.S. Infrastructure Plan A program that includes expanding rural broadband would be helpful, but other initiatives could be duds. U.S. Chartbook: Weathering the Turbulence Despite a dive in stock prices and deteriorating fiscal outlook, economic fundamentals are solid. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Canada RPS House Price Index Jan. 2018: 6.3% The Canadian housing market is facing headwinds. Germany Consumer Price Index Jan. 2018: 1.5% Germany's annual national measure of inflation was unchanged at 1.5% in January, seasonally adjusted, the same as at the end of last year. Thailand Monetary Policy Feb. 2018: Euro Zone Industrial Production Dec. 2017: 0.4% In line with our expectations but above the consensus, euro zone industrial production rose by 0.4% m/m in December, building on an upwardly revised 1.3% rise in November. United States MBA Mortgage Applications Survey February 09: -4.1% Mortgage applications fell last week, as most rates continued on their path upward. United States Retail Sales Jan. 2018: -0.3% Retail sales came in much weaker than expected in January, and prior sales were revised lower. United States Consumer Price Index Jan. 2018: 0.5% Financial markets are on edge that inflationary pressures are set to build quickly, and the January consumer price index could fan their concerns. Canada New Motor Vehicle Sales Dec. 2017: -0.5% The number of new motor vehicles sold declined by 21.1% from November to 127,734 in December, with monthly sales of both new cars and new trucks decreasing. United States Tech Pulse Jan. 2018: 86.8 January proved to be another good month for the U.S. tech sector. United States Business Inventories (MTIS) Dec. 2017: 0.4% Stockpiles closed 2017 on a decent note. Colombia Industrial Production Dec. 2017: -0.8% Manufacturing output in Colombia contracted 0.8% y/y in December, after -0.3% in November. United States Oil Inventories February 09: 422.1 mil barrels A smaller than expected increase in crude oil inventories will put some upward pressure on oil prices. Uruguay Industrial Production Dec. 2017: -3.8% Industrial production took another tumble in December, contracting 3.8% year over year. India Foreign Trade Jan. 2018: Japan Machinery Orders Dec. 2017: Singapore Foreign Trade Jan. 2018: Australia Employment Situation Jan. 2018: Indonesia Foreign Trade Jan. 2018: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |